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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 10 October 19
THERMAL COAL IMPORT LIKELY TO CROSS 200 MT IN 2019-20 - TIME OF INDIA
The country's overall thermal coal import is likely to cross the 200-million tonnes (MT) mark in the current financial year, according to Icra. ...
Wednesday, 09 October 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we have already stated in previous insights, we had expected that the recovery on rates and activity across all segments in the offshore market ...
Thursday, 03 October 19
OIL PRICE ASSUMPTIONS UNCHANGED, NBP GAS PRICE LOWERED - FITCH RATINGS PRIMARY - FITCH RATINGS
Our oil price assumptions are unchanged, despite the recent price volatility following the attacks on Saudi Arabia's oil infrastructure, Fitch ...
Thursday, 03 October 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
Edible oil products across the board are showing healthy amount of export activity, however, rates in most cases are struggling to move accordingly ...
Friday, 27 September 19
LOWDOWN ON INCOTERMS 2020 OVERHAUL - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
This ninth revision of Incoterms is changed in style and substance. The revisions improve certain aspects of Incoterms 20 ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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