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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 01 February 20
COAL IS NOT GOING ANYWHERE - MINING REVIEW
The coal sector is living under the constant threat of being blamed by environmentalists as being responsible for a world disaster called global wa ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
CIL PRODUCTION TO NOT EXCEED 640 MILLION TON IN FY20: OFFICIAL - PTI
Hit by disruptions due to a prolonged monsoon, mining major Coal India Ltd’s production in the current fiscal will not exceed 640 million ton ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
WHO PAYS FOR IMO 2020? - FREIGHT WAVES
The United Nations’ International Maritime Organization (IMO) implemented its low-sulfur fuel mandate on January 1, 2020. Full enforcement be ...
Friday, 31 January 20
EIA EXPECTS U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM RENEWABLES TO SOON SURPASS NUCLEAR AND COAL
In the latest long-term projections, the U.S Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects electricity generation from renewable sources such as ...
Thursday, 30 January 20
PRIVATE SECTOR COMPANIES SEEK 'LEVEL PLAYING FIELD' FOR COAL BLOCK AUCTION - PTI
Private sector companies scouting opportunities for commercial coal mining in the country are seeking a “level playing field” to encour ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Planning Commission, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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