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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 28 March 20
ASIA'S COAL MARKETS DIVERGE ON QUALITY LINES AS CORONAVIRUS HITS INDIA - REUTERS
Asia’s seaborne coal market is increasingly diverging between higher-quality Australian coal, where prices are holding up despite the economi ...
Friday, 27 March 20
CHINA'S BULKS: THE SENTIMENT GAP BETWEEN STEEL AND COAL WIDENS - WOOD MACKENZIE
China seems to be containing its local coronavirus situation, with imported cases now posing the greater threat. While quarantine measures remain t ...
Friday, 27 March 20
S.KOREA Q1 THERMAL COAL IMPORTS SET FOR 10-YR LOW ON ANTI-POLLUTION MEASURES - REUTERS
South Korea’s first-quarter thermal coal imports are set to fall to a decade-low due to stricter air pollution measures, while the coronaviru ...
Friday, 27 March 20
PORT OF NEWCASTLE OPERATIONS CONTINUE WITH COVID-19 RESPONSE MEASURES IN PLACE
Port of Newcastle, like many organisations, is taking a precautionary approach to help manage COVID-19 risks in the community. Our focus is on ensu ...
Thursday, 26 March 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE DROPS SLIGHTLY - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price dropped slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge ...
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- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PTC India Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Planning Commission, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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