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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 07 April 20
IS CHINA EMBARKING ON A MAJOR EXPANSION OF COAL-FIRED POWER GENERATION? - WOOD MACKENZIE
As energy companies worldwide grapple with the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, long-term planning continues. Ahead of the release of t ...
Tuesday, 07 April 20
COAL INDIA'S DISPATCHES DROP, OUTPUT INCREASES - THE HINDU
India’s largest coal producer Coal India Ltd. (CIL) has seen a 10% fall in dispatches in March 2020 due to a sharp fall in demand from the po ...
Tuesday, 07 April 20
CORONAVIRUS AND LOCKDOWNS DRAG DOWN THE INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE IN APRIL
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of the Indonesian ther ...
Monday, 06 April 20
A 52,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY SINGAPORE TRIP, VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY TAIWAN, AT $3,100 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market this past week looks to have come off life support and found some improved sentiment. The week began rather ordina ...
Monday, 06 April 20
INDIA'S 21-DAY LOCKDOWN - IMPACT ON COMMODITIES? - WOOD MACKENZIE
India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March, to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this me ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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