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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 17 April 20
PANDEMIC TO BRING ASIA'S 2020 GROWTH TO HALT FOR 1ST TIME IN 60 YEARS - IMF: REUTERS
Asia’s economic growth this year will grind to a halt for the first time in 60 years, as the coronavirus crisis takes an “unprecedented ...
Friday, 17 April 20
OPEC BRACES FOR OIL MARKET'S "HISTORIC SHOCK"
OPEC released its much anticipated April monthly report.
Crude Oil Price Movements
Crude oil prices collapsed in March 2020, rec ...
Friday, 17 April 20
SAUDI ARABIA'S MAY 2020 OSPS FOR CRUDE EXPORTS BODE WELL FOR ASIAN REFINERS - WOOD MACKENZIE
On 13 April, Saudi Arabia announced the Official Selling Prices (OSPs) for its May crude oil exports. The new OSPs speak volumes about Saudi Arabia ...
Friday, 17 April 20
SEABORNE COAL PRICES UNDER PRESSURE AS DEMAND SOFTENS IN CHINA, INDIA - CLYDE RUSSELL
Worrying signs are emerging for coal exporters to the world’s biggest markets in Asia, as top buyers China and India move to favour domestic ...
Thursday, 16 April 20
THERMAL POWER SECTOR FACES BLEAK SCENARIO POST-COVID SITUATION - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The centre should take a fresh look at coal-energy value chain as the sector tops the chart on loan defaults.
Covid-19 may have serv ...
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Coal Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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