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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 20 July 20
COAL INDIA LAUNCHES SPECIAL CATEGORY OF E-AUCTION FOR COAL IMPORTERS - BUSINESS STANDARD
Coal India (CIL) on Friday launched a special category of e-auction for importers of coal. This is in line with the government’s declaration ...
Monday, 20 July 20
OIL PRICE OF $40-43 PER BARREL MORE OR LESS BALANCED - NOVAK | TASS
The Russian Ministry of Energy considers the current oil price of $40-43 per barrel more or less balanced and does not expect price changes after t ...
Monday, 20 July 20
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000 OPEN NORTH CHINA FIXING AN AUSTRALIAN ROUND IN THE LOW $10,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The capesize market showed some resistance this week to recent losses as all routes saw a small uptick in value to end the week. With ...
Friday, 17 July 20
MISC MALAYSIA ENTERS INTO PURCHASE AGREEMENTS AND TIME CHARTER PARTIES FOR SIX VLECS
MISC Berhad (MISC) has entered into Memorandum of Agreements (MOAs) with six indirect wholly-owned subsidiaries of Zhejiang Satellite Petrochem ...
Wednesday, 15 July 20
HOW MEANINGFUL ARE SOME ESTIMATES FOR INDIA’S COAL CONSUMPTION DATA? - IEEFA
In recent years, BP's estimates for India have contained what appears to be a record of over-optimistic projections
BP’s a ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The University of Queensland
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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