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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 10 September 20
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2020 TO BE 511 MMST, 28 PER CENT LOWER THAN IN 2019 - EIA
EIA expects total U.S. coal production in 2020 to be 511 million short tons (MMst), 194 MMst (28%) lower than in 2019. Mitigation efforts related t ...
Thursday, 10 September 20
DRY BULK SHIPPING: CHINA'S DEMAND KEEPING THE DRY BULK MARKET GOING - PETER SAND | BIMCO
Overview
An impressive recovery in Chinese dry bulk imports has protected the industry from the effects of falling demand in the rest of the wo ...
Thursday, 10 September 20
TANKER SHIPPING: FREIGHT RATES BACK AT LOSS-MAKING LEVELS AFTER 12 VERY PROFITABLE MONTHS - BIMCO
Overview
A stunningly strong 12 months for the tanker shipping industry is now being replaced by lower freight rates, as lower oil product ...
Thursday, 10 September 20
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS STUMBLE IN AUGUST, RAISING RISK OF SLOW RECOVERY - REFINITIV | BANCHERO COSTA
After posting a mild recovery in July, India's coal imports have stumbled in August as the South Asian nation battles to restart it ...
Thursday, 10 September 20
THE FIRST 8 MONTHS OF 2020, INDONESIA EXPORTED 217.4 MLN TONNES OF COAL BASED ON REFINITIV - BANCHERO COSTA
The coal market has been hit by a weaker global economy as a result of COVID-19 pandemic and falling industrial electricity demand ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- MS Steel International - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
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