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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 17 November 20
AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS TO CHINA SLUMP, BUT PRICES ARE MIXED - REUTERS
China’s unofficial ban on coal imports from Australia is starting to take its toll on volumes, with departing cargoes down sharply so far in ...
Friday, 13 November 20
SHIPPING OUTLOOK TURNS STABLE ON EBITDA GROWTH, IMPROVING SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE - MOODY’S
Outlook revised to stable from negative.
The global shipping industry is on course to perform better overall than we had previously ex ...
Friday, 13 November 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Monday, 09 November 20
INDONESIA MAY CUT BIODIESEL USE TARGET AS SUBSIDY FUND DEPLETES - FITCH
The Indonesian government may rein in its push to increase use of biodiesel as it now comes at higher cost following a fall in crude oil prices and ...
Monday, 09 November 20
SOUTH AFRICA: COAL MARKET CONDITIONS HAVE ' DETERIORATED MATERIALLY' - IEEFA
The Asian seaborne thermal coal pool is drying out
Resource Generation Ltd’s proposed but long delayed Boikarabelo coal mine i ...
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- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
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