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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 16 June 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
“While approaching the second half of the year and summer season is just around the corner, COVID vaccination programs are steadily moving fo ...
Monday, 14 June 21
'WISHFUL THINKING': WHY CHINA NEEDS AUSTRALIAN IRON ORE FOR 'MANY YEARS' TO COME - YAHOO FINANCE AU
A “wintry period”.
That’s what’s expected to happen to Australia’s economy “when” China st ...
Sunday, 13 June 21
COAL AND LNG’S SURGE IN ASIA PLAYS INTO RENEWABLE ENERGY HANDS - REUTERS
Liquefied natural gas (LNG) and thermal coal prices in Asia have been roaring ahead in recent months amid strong demand, but while welcome news for ...
Friday, 11 June 21
5 REASONS GLOBAL SHIPPING COSTS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE - ING
No short-term relief
Shipping costs have been growing strongly since the autumn of 2020, but the first months of this year have seen a new surg ...
Friday, 11 June 21
ASIA COAL PRICES SURGE, BUT CHINA-AUSTRALIA DISPUTE MEANS RALLY IS UNEVEN - REUTERS
Thermal coal prices across Asia have surged to multi-year highs amid strong demand and some supply constraints, but some types of the fuel have don ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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