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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 29 June 11
ANOTHER STRONG PERFORMANCE BY CAPESIZE - BRS
Another strong performance by the Capesize market this week, bringing the BCI up 8% to 1,974 points. However the Panamax market was penalised, losin ...
Monday, 27 June 11
THE IRON ORE IMPORTS BY CHINA SEEMED TO SLOW DOWN - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI was holding as previous week and was just up by 1 point and closed at 1424 points end of last week. The biggest gain was ...
Friday, 24 June 11
THE INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT WILL NOT EXTEND ALL EXPIRED MINING CONTRACTS - JAKARTA UPDATES
The Indonesian Government have decided not to extend all mining concessions under the scheme called Contract of Work and instead will take over the ...
Friday, 24 June 11
BERAU EYEING 70 PERCENT GROWTH IN EBITDA
Indonesia's coal producer PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU) is eyeing a 60 -70 percent growth in EBITDA to US$ 560 million-US$595 million this year. ...
Thursday, 23 June 11
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS EXHIBITING SIGNS OF WEAKNESS THIS WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market seems to be unable to climb at new highs this week, showing signs of weakness, across most ship types. Yesterday, the Baltic Dry ...
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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