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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 27 September 11
A STRONG REBOUND FOR THE CAPE MARKET - BRS
A strong rebound for the Cape market, as cargoes continued to flow into the market and tonnage remained tight in the Atlantic, according to Barry Ro ...
Tuesday, 27 September 11
INTRACO SEALS US$25.3 MIO ORDER - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, Heavy equipment distributor PT Intraco Penta Tbk (INTA) obtained a US$25.3 million order on hand of heavy equipments ...
Sunday, 25 September 11
THE CHARTER RATES FOR INDONESIA TO INDIA WAS FIRM - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market moved up sharply with the cape Index up by 11 pct pushing the BDI by almost 6 pct and closing at 1,920 point ...
Saturday, 24 September 11
GOVT PLANS TO RENEGOTIATE ALL CONTRACTS INCLUDING FREEPORT - JP
The Jakarta Post reported that, the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry has confirmed plans to renegotiate all mining contracts including those wi ...
Friday, 23 September 11
ICMA TO BUILD UPGRADE FACILITIES TO ANTICIPATE BAN ON LOW-GRADE COAL EXPORT BY 2014
COALspot.com - January to August of this year, Indonesia’s coal production had already reached 235 million tons. Earlier estimates had targete ...
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- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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