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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 23 October 11
CHINA LOOKING TO RESELL INDONESIAN COAL CARGOES - BARCLAYS
Commodity Online reported that, Anecdotal evidence has suggested that China is even looking to resell Indonesian cargoes back into the seaborne coal ...
Saturday, 22 October 11
THE SHORT-PERIOD RATES FOR PANAMAX REMAINED FIRM - CAPT. REDDY
COALspot.com - "The market seemed to slow down a bit this week, and all sectors were down by about One to five percent", said Capt. Reddy, ...
Saturday, 22 October 11
WILL THE PROPOSED 26 PERCENT PROFIT SHARING CLAUSE IN THE MINING BILL SPEED UP THE PRODUCTION OR SCARE AWAY INVESTORS? - DIPESH DIPU
A draft law has been approved by a ministerial panel headed by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee of India which, if passed by the Cabinet, will make ...
Saturday, 22 October 11
INDONESIA'S GOLDEN ENERGY SLASHES ITS IPO PRICE - THE JAKARTA GLOBE
The Jakarta Globe reported that, Golden Energy Mines, a coal mining company affiliated with Sinar Mas Group, lowered its target in an initial public ...
Thursday, 20 October 11
CAPESIZE - TUBARAO /QINGDAO BEING FIXED AT STRONG US$ 29.75 PMT
Handy
The Atlantic market is quite steady, and market seems to be around the same levels as last week. Fewer fixtures reported though. ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
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