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Wednesday, 12 February 20
CHANGES IN LNG MARKET COULD UNDERCUT PLANS FOR NEW JAPANESE COAL PLANTS - CLYDE RUSSELL
Reuters: Clyde Russell
The collapse in the spot price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia is a short-term phenomenon that may well end up having a longer-term impact, especially on thermal coal.
The spot price dropped to $2.95 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) for the week ended Feb. 7, the lowest price in records stretching back to 2010. It has lost 57% of its value since the pre-winter peak of $6.80 per mmBtu in mid-October, and is down 74% from the peak price in 2018 and 86% from the all-time high from February 2014.
While it’s unlikely that spot LNG prices will stay at the current depressed levels indefinitely, the trend toward structurally lower prices appears sustainable. There is still no shortage of LNG projects being built, with 17 million tonnes of capacity due to be commissioned this year alone, and considerably more likely in the next five years, as projects from Russia to East Africa start to come online.
This supply surge is likely to have two impacts on prices. Firstly, it will ensure that spot prices remain under downward pressure, and secondly, it will likely accelerate the shift away from long-term, oil-linked contracts to shorter-term, more flexibly priced deals.
This change in the way LNG is priced should give pause for considerable thought to any would-be developers of thermal coal power projects based on imported fuel in Asia, especially Japan. As a country that relies on imports for virtually all its energy, Japan has long prioritized security of supply and diversity in its energy mix. But perhaps the sands have shifted enough to lead to a re-think.
It would in all likelihood be possible to sign long-term or medium-term LNG supply pacts that are not linked to the price of crude oil, but rather to other instruments such as U.S. Henry Hub natural gas, or European gas prices, or even seaborne thermal coal costs. This could give Japan the security of supply it desires, but virtually eliminate the problem LNG has always had, its high cost relative to thermal coal.
Source: IEEFA | Reuters
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Tuesday, 19 July 22
DRY BULK MARKET: CAPESIZE MARKET FIRMS THIS WEEK - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Capesize
Firmer sentiment across both basins pushed the Capesize 5TC route average above the $20,000 threshold this week, closing at $24,209. A ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
WHY SHIPPING MIGHT BE ABOUT TO GET A LITTLE BIT SLOWER - WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
If shipping is the beating heart of global trade, its pulse is about to get slower.
Faced with uncertainty about which fuels to use in the long ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
GERMANY'S INCREASED COAL, OIL USE WILL BE TEMPORARY, SCHOLZ SAYS - CNBC
Chancellor Olaf Scholz says Germany’s decision to reactivate coal and oil-fired power plants to relieve energy shortages because of the war i ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
INDONESIA REMOVES PALM OIL EXPORT LEVY UNTIL AUG. 31 - REUTERS
Indonesia has scrapped its export levy for all palm oil products until Aug. 31 in a fresh attempt to boost exports and ease high inventories, finan ...
Tuesday, 19 July 22
CHINA'S JUNE DAILY COAL OUTPUT JUMPS ON PEAK SUMMER DEMAND - REUTERS
China’s daily coal output in June rose 6.6 per cent from a month earlier as miners cranked up output ahead of peak summer temperatures, when ...
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- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
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- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
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- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Planning Commission, India
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
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- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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