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Wednesday, 12 February 20
THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY SEES FREIGHT MARKETS IN A COMPLETE STATE OF COLLAPSE AS DEMAND GETS PARALYZED DUE TO CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK - ALLIED
 With China and the world still trying to contain the effects and come to terms with the Wuhan novel coronavirus outbreak, the shipping industry sees freight markets in a complete state of collapse as demand gets paralyzed by the ensuing effects. As a general rule of thumb during the past decade, shipping markets tend to underperform when China’s economy is not at it’s best. China’s industrial might over the past two decades has helped drive the vast majority of demand for raw materials and re-sources, said Allied Shipping research in its latest report.
According to George Lazaridis Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping, this reliance on the world’s second largest economy even seems sometimes to be almost absolute in keeping the freight markets afloat. It is therefore no surprise that the fears that have emerged of late as to the potential effects the outbreak of the coronavirus will have on China’s economy moving forward have left many to fear as to how well the shipping markets will be able to perform this year. The truth of the matter is that we have seen a major hit and correction noted over the past 1 ½ months in both the dry bulk and tanker freight markets, with the former having shown lows in some of its freight rate levels not even seen back in 2016. This sparks further worries, as the prevailing projections now are for China’s year-on-year economic expansion for 1Q2020 to well fall down to 4%, the slowest pace since China first started publishing quarterly figures back in 1992.
The report further noted that, all this however has not been limited to the freight markets as other commercial aspects within the shipping industry have also been profoundly affected. This has ranged from shipbuilding production, maintenance and repairs, crew changes, cargo loading and discharging operations (with many traders having issued force majeure notices) all the way through to sale and purchase activity, as we have seen difficulties in undertaking superficial inspections as well as delivery of vessels in regions which have been severely hit by the virus outbreak. In terms of the sale and purchase markets, we are likely to see things take a further downturn over the coming days as the lack of activity coupled with the poor sentiment that is now seemingly overwhelming most in the market is likely to lead to a slower pace in buying interest. It would seem that even the few remaining buyers still actively looking into the market right now are more so keen to act on any bargain deals that could possibly emerge under the cur-rent circumstances rather than through a deep belief in strong market fundamentals, a fact in itself that pushes the view that we may well see some further price discounts down the line, especially in the dry bulk sector which has ultimately been the hardest hit up to now from the current market developments.
George Lazaridis Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping noted in his report that, taking into consideration however that these recent market developments have been considerably intense within a short space of time and look to be temporary in their nature, the prevailing belief is that we will likely see a considerable recovery take shape at some point in the second or third quarter of the year. Given how “compressed” markets have been during the past couple of weeks, the “spring effect” (just as a spring releases it’s stored mechanical energy) may well be considerable and quick in nature. We are likely to see many traders in the market looking to recoup “lost” cargo volumes during the time period that follows the containment of the virus, while we may even see a considerable wave of stimulus emerge as the Chinese government looks to offset the negative effects of the outbreak. All in all it has become clear that the current events will further dampen this year’s results, yet we shouldn’t take the recent over-exaggerations of the market as the new market norm.
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
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