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Thursday, 06 February 20
CHINESE DEMAND KEY UNCERTAINTY FOR SEABORNE COAL MARKET IN 2020 - THE BRICS POST
Coal trader Noble Resources head of research Rodrigo Echeverri Cardozo had penciled in a 3 Mt drop in Chinese import demand for 2020, but it could drop by 20 Mt depending on how long the disruption caused by the so-called “Wuhan flu” continued, he told the 15th Annual Southern African Coal Conference in Cape Town, South Africa.
“I normally have my presentation ready at least one week before the conference, but this time, I have had to update on a daily basis, as the number of cases is spreading so fast. The bad news is that the first quarter of 2020 is going to be pretty poor, because Chinese traders hold back from buying as they wait for the economic impact to stabilize,” he said.
The coronavirus outbreak, which originated in Wuhan, China, has exceeded a grim comparison milestone, as the number of confirmed cases in mainland China has now surpassed that of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) during the 2002-2003 epidemic.
It took six months for the number of SARS cases to exceed 5,000 in mainland China and the coronavirus surpassed that in just one month. SARS infected more than 8,000 people and killed some 800, resulting in estimates of global economic costs from disrupted trade and travel of R400 billion to R1.4 trillion.
“European coal burn has been on a downward trend for more than three years and this will continue in 2020, so the only good news is that we are unlikely to see the export supply surge from Indonesia that we saw last year, as domestic demand ramps up, so there will be less extra supply coming for that quarter,” he added.
“From my point of view, South African exports are the easiest to forecast as they have been flat for the past few years. I have got a small 0.4 Mt increase for this year,” he concluded.
The South African coal industry mines some 260 Mt of which some 72 Mt is exported and employs more than 86,000 miners who get R25 billion in salaries.
Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) achieved an annualised throughput of 95 Mt in December 2018 when they loaded 105 vessels, even though for the year, RBCT coal exports fell to 72.15 Mt in 2019 from 73.47 Mt in 2018 and a record 76.47 Mt in 2017. The rail line to RBCT has a current capacity of 81 Mt, while the port has a capacity of 91 Mt.
South African coal producers will need to boost productivity as competition intensifies in coal export markets, Mike Teke, CEO of coal mining company, Seriti Resources, said.
“The drive to be efficient and best in class regarding exporting coal is imperative,” he said.
Source: The BRICS Post
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a ...
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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