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Wednesday, 22 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 It seems that we are finally seeing whitish smoke as far as the trade feud between the US and China is concerned, while following this much anticipated deal between the two countries, everyone in the shipping industry is currently trying to assess the impact in the different shipping sectors.
The first phase of the agreement signed last week reduces tariffs but only for a percentage of imports, with the majority of the imported and exported goods from either country retaining the previously imposed tariffs at the same levels. US exports of agricultural cargoes, crude oil, LNG, and refined products are set for an increase in the next two years given that the agreed figures will be imported by China.
It will take some time before we can quantify the benefits this agreement will have in the dry bulk market, while with the Chinese New Year festivities just around the corner, owners seem to be focusing more on when the market will manage to shake off the negative sentiment of late and less on the longer term effects of this agreement.
Given the lows we have been seeing lately, it is only logical to anticipate a stronger or at least substantially improved market closer to the end of the first half. This could support sale and purchase activity at the moment given that Buyers being optimistic about the later part of the year could possibly take advantage of the softer sentiment that is currently prevailing.
On the tanker side it seems that healthy rates will most probably prevail in 2020 as despite the very recent downward corrections, earnings remain at very healthy levels. This coupled with the fact that there are fewer ships in the market for sale compared to a while ago, could help asset prices maintain their levels and even firm in case the freight market enjoys additional impressive spikes in the future.
At the moment crude carrier ships are viewed by some investors expensive, especially those older than 12 years, with certain buyers feeling that a correction is now long due. The truth is that there is not much substance that a correction will indeed come though. As a matter of fact there is more evidence as well as positive sentiment that the rates will stay strong. This eventually will drive asset prices higher with owners hesitant to buy earlier on, eventually rushing in to catch up with the upward momentum additionally inflating prices as a result.
It is very early to make any solid assumptions as to what 2020 will turn out to be, but it must be the first time in a long time that the picture is brighter than dark and the industry seems to be ready for it more than ever.
By Timos Papadimitriou
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
CHINA'S INNER MONGOLIA COAL OUTPUT HIT 1.21B TONS IN 2023 - XINHUA
North China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region churned out 1.21 billion tons of coal in 2023 as it strives to guarantee the country’s e ...
Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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