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Friday, 17 January 20
EIA ESTIMATES THAT U.S. COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED BY 65 MMST (9%) TO 690 MMST IN 2019. IN 2020, COAL PRODUCTION WILL DECLINE BY A FURTHER 14% TO 597 MMST
U.S. Coal Supply.
EIA estimates that U.S. coal production declined by 65 million short tons (MMst) (9%) to 690 MMst in 2019. In 2020, EIA expects total U.S. coal production will decline by a further 14% to 597 MMst because of anticipated declines in both exports and domestic consumption in the electric power sector. EIA expects the largest declines in coal production in 2020 will occur in the Western production region. The coal market has undergone significant restructuring in the past year.
EIA also expects coal production will fall by an additional 3% in 2021 to 581 MMst. The slowing declines in production for 2021 are based on EIA’s expectation of modest increases in demand for U.S. exports offset by continuing, albeit slowing, demand declines in the U.S. electric power sector.
U.S. Coal Consumption.
EIA estimates that coal consumption for all sectors totaled 596 MMst in 2019. EIA expects total coal consumption will fall by 65 MMst (11%) in 2020 and by 18 MMst (3%) in 2021. The declines in total consumption of coal closely track those in electric power consumption, which accounted for 91% of all coal consumption in 2019. The decrease in power sector coal consumption in 2020 reflects expected coal plant retirements and increasing shares of electricity generation from low priced natural gas and new renewables generating capacity. However, because EIA expects slight rises in natural gas prices in 2021, coal will become slightly more price competitive.
Coal Trade.
In 2019, coal exports decreased 20% from 2018 to 92 MMst said EIA in latest report. Less favorable market conditions, such as competitive steam coal cargoes from Eastern Europe and high freight costs, contributed to the decline, which was offset somewhat by residual contracts that will expire in 2020. EIA estimates that U.S. coal exports will decrease by 11% in 2020 to 83 MMst and then stabilize near that level in 2021.
Despite EIA’s forecast decline in total U.S. coal exports, shipments to top destinations such as India, Japan, and South Korea, are expected to remain stable. Exports to these three countries accounted for 34% (27 MMst) of the coal exported in 2019 through October. Europe received about 36% of U.S. exports during that period. Although U.S. exports to Europe are mostly metallurgical coal and used predominantly for steel production, U.S. steam coal is still used in Germany, Portugal, and the United Kingdom.
U.S. coal exports to North Africa, particularly Egypt and Morocco, rose 5% compared with the same period in 2018, accounting for 9% of total exports. Comparatively, coal exports to North and South America accounted for 8% and 9% of total coal, respectively.
Coal Prices.
EIA estimates the delivered coal price to U.S. electricity generators averaged $2.05 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2019, which was down slightly from the 2018 price. EIA forecasts that coal prices will increase to $2.10/MMBtu in both 2020 and 2021.
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Saturday, 01 February 20
THERMAL COAL MARKETS: 5 TRENDS TO WATCH OUT FOR IN 2020 - MINING REVIEW
The seaborne thermal coal market entered the year challenged by low priced LNG in the Atlantic and rapidly increasing supply in the Pacific.
&n ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
COAL IS NOT GOING ANYWHERE - MINING REVIEW
The coal sector is living under the constant threat of being blamed by environmentalists as being responsible for a world disaster called global wa ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
CIL PRODUCTION TO NOT EXCEED 640 MILLION TON IN FY20: OFFICIAL - PTI
Hit by disruptions due to a prolonged monsoon, mining major Coal India Ltd’s production in the current fiscal will not exceed 640 million ton ...
Saturday, 01 February 20
WHO PAYS FOR IMO 2020? - FREIGHT WAVES
The United Nations’ International Maritime Organization (IMO) implemented its low-sulfur fuel mandate on January 1, 2020. Full enforcement be ...
Friday, 31 January 20
EIA EXPECTS U.S. ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM RENEWABLES TO SOON SURPASS NUCLEAR AND COAL
In the latest long-term projections, the U.S Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects electricity generation from renewable sources such as ...
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- VISA Power Limited - India
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
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- Minerals Council of Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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