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Wednesday, 15 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Happy New Year and all the best for IMO 2020 !!
The early days of IMO 2020 coming into force have certainly had an impact on the industry, but so far it seems that those who feared of major problems for global shipping have not been verified and it looks like we have avoided the destructive consequences. Lack of availability of the VLSFO, massive breakdowns of main engines from poor blends, detentions from non-compliance where just some of the warnings and the possible problems that many were expecting, and none of it has happened so far, at least to a widespread extent. It hasn't been smooth, but fortunately there hasn't been any disruption of the world trade.
Unavailability of the fuel which was for a long time the biggest concern does not seem to be an issue; compliant fuels are available and supply will only improve. Also, although it may be too soon to spot a pattern from the incompatibility from the fuel blends, so far there have been no major events.
From the world fleet of thousands of vessels, we have the first reported cases of breaches of compliance with the IMO2020, as the Chinese authorities have caught two vessels for low sulphur fuel violations. There can be fines or detentions but I would guess that it is still too early and the authorities are still a bit lenient on imposing strict penalties.
The biggest problem is the price of the fuel, which is very similar to MGO and very close to the highest levels that the shipowners have ever paid for heavy fuel. This is not entirely an IMO2020 effect, the high oil prices are mostly courtesy of the trade wars, torpedo attacks, air strikes, missile strikes and the other events that sent the oil price to the recent highs. However, the spread between the compliant fuels and the HFO, which is currently getting cheaper, has peaked from $280/mt up to more than $400/mt in some major bunkering ports and the fact is that most owners are experiencing high and uncertain heavy fuel oil price levels.
So this is good news for those owners who rushed to install scrubbers, invested millions and suffered 60 days or more of lost earnings. It's payback time for them as they get better charter rates and see their investment's payback time to get shorter and shorter.
We expect the 0.5% compliant fuel to get increasingly cheaper as more of the product becomes available, refinery inventory builds up, and as more companies and tankers/barges start delivering it. Furthermore, according to news agency Reuters, China has approved a long-awaited tax waiver on exports of the compliant fuel, paving the way for Chinese refiners to boost production of the 0.5%. Although initially shipments will focus on the coastal marine fuel market, this tax waiver will definitely impact both the supply and the price of the VLSFO.
Global shipping is a beast, an enormous organism, that at first seems to be very slow to react, but in fact once again it has proven to be very flexible and relatively quick in adapting. Most shipowners have been operationally well prepared in making the transition smooth and are now ready to focus in the commercial side of things and the shipping market itself.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 16 January 20
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA ROUND VOYAGE FIXING AROUND LOW/MID USD 6,000 BSS APS INDO - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Still very rough seas for the big ships, with the majority of the fleet trading Far East or fronthaul and consequently earning far les ...
Wednesday, 15 January 20
ASIA PACIFIC GAS AND LNG - 6 THEMES TO WATCH IN 2020 - WOOD MACKENZIE
NEWS RELEASE
Wood Mackenzie has identified six themes that will impact Asia Pacific’s gas and LNG markets in 2020
Asian LNG spot pr ...
Wednesday, 15 January 20
PREDICTIONS FOR 2020: 'SLOWBALISATION" IS THE NEW GLOBALISATION - PWC
Projecting what the future holds is an important exercise for businesses looking to plan ahead. Below we present a summary of some of the themes we ...
Tuesday, 14 January 20
SOLAS AMENDMENTS ENTERING INTO FORCE 1 JANUARY 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
While the latest amendments to MARPOL annex VI which entered into force on 1 January 2020 limiting the SOx emissions from ships has been the centre ...
Tuesday, 14 January 20
MABUX: BUNKER MARKET THIS MORNING, JAN.14
MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, 180 HSFO and MGO (Gasoil) in the main world hubs) changed insignificant and i ...
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- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Coal Association
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Planning Commission, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
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