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Friday, 27 December 19
MISERY LOOMS OVER TOP COAL SHIPPERS AS CHINA TO BUY LESS IN 2020 BLOOMBERG
 China isn’t cutting back on consumption of the most-polluting fossil fuel just yet, but it is set to reduce imports.
The world’s biggest coal buyer will likely purchase less from overseas in 2020 after a boost this year, according to analysts. With domestic production rising to a record and overall demand nearing a plateau, miners from top exporters such as Indonesia and Australia will find themselves squeezed.
China’s coal imports have raced ahead in 2019, surprising many who had predicted that the government would strictly clamp down on shipments in the later months just as it did in 2018. With economic growth at its weakest in decades amid a trade war with the U.S., import curbs were eased on the nation’s most-consumed fuel to help mitigate the pain of a slowdown.
Beijing regularly limits coal imports to buttress domestic miners amid a broader campaign to reduce the nation’s reliance on the fuel. Underpinning forecasts for lower imports in 2020 is the outlook for rising domestic supply as China promotes bigger and more efficient mining operations.
“New supply will create a coal glut,” said Michelle Leung, an analyst with Bloomberg Intelligence. That’s likely to cut China’s net imports by 8% in 2020 and hurt profitability of miners in Australia and Indonesia, she added.
China bought 299 million tons of coal for power and steel in the first 11 months, 10% higher than year-ago levels and a record for the period. It’s on course to exceed a 200 million- to 300 million-ton range touted by an industry official as necessary to support domestic miners and maintain balanced trade with exporting nations.
With more local supply to come in 2020, Chinese import controls will be a lasting feature and lead to a 25 million-ton drop in thermal coal purchases next year, Morgan Stanley estimates. The cutback will offset demand growth elsewhere in Asia, and seaborne prices may extend a slump to average $66 a ton from about $79 in 2019, the bank said.
For a country that burns and produces half the world’s coal, the strength of China’s import curbs may vary depending on the government’s competing priorities of protecting domestic miners and power plants. Utilities will face added pressure from January when market reforms are expected to result in lower electricity prices, which may hit their bottom line.
“The government wants to boost the economy any way it can, and a good way to do that is to let generators get the cheapest coal,” said James Stevenson, global director for coal research at IHS Markit Ltd. “At the same time, it doesn’t want imported coal risking domestic mining jobs.”
Market Revamp
Zeng Hao, an analyst at Fenwei Energy Information Services Co., is among the few expecting China to further relax its grip on coal imports in 2020 as policy makers would be disinclined to intervene in “market-based activity” amid the slowing economy, he said.
Economists surveyed by Bloomberg this month expect China’s top leadership to set the target for economic growth at “about 6%” for 2020, which implies a continuation of the growth slowdown. The goal for this year is 6% to 6.5%.
Given the oversupply in China’s coal market, domestic prices are likely to remain at low levels next year, said Zhai Yu, a senior consultant at Wood Mackenzie Ltd. based in Beijing. That will reduce the attractiveness of overseas cargoes.
Spot coal at the main Qinhuangdao port is at a three-year low of 543 yuan a ton. A slide toward 500 yuan could motivate the government to step up restrictions on imports, he said.
Source: Bloomberg
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Monday, 24 June 24
PHILIPPINES COAL SUPPLY ENOUGH UNTIL 2030 - PHILSTAR GLOBAL
The country’s existing coal-fired power plants are sufficient to ensure enough base load capacity in the next six years, Energy Secretary Rap ...
Friday, 14 June 24
NEXTDECADE, SAUDI ARAMCO SIGN 20-YEAR LNG SUPPLY DEAL - REUTERS
U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) provider NextDecade has signed a non-binding agreement with Saudi Aramco 2222.SE to supply 1.2 million tonnes per ...
Friday, 14 June 24
NEWBUILDING PRICES CLIMB 3% TO HIGHEST LEVEL IN 16 YEARS - NIELS RASMUSSEN
“Since the start of the year, newbuilding prices have risen 3% to their highest level since 2008. Compared to their most recent low in late 2 ...
Friday, 14 June 24
INDIA TARGETS HIGHER DOMESTIC COAL PRODUCTION, REDUCED IMPORTS: GOVT - REUTERS
India wants to reduce coal imports and increase domestic production, federal coal minister G. Kishan Reddy said on Thursday.
The cou ...
Thursday, 13 June 24
US LNG TO ASIA FOR POWER GENERATION EXPECTED TO CUT EMISSIONS VERSUS COAL - RYSTAD ENERGY
The value-chain emissions of liquified natural gas (LNG) are lower on average than for coal-fired power generation, even when the fuel is shipp ...
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- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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