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Tuesday, 17 December 19
YEAR 2019: IT IS LOOKING SET THAT THIS YEAR WILL BE ONE OF THE SLOWEST IN TERMS OF DRY BULK NEWBUILDING ACTIVITY - ALLIED
 With just two weeks remaining before 2019 comes to an end, it is now looking set that this year will be one of the slowest in terms of dry bulk newbuilding activity. New ordering activity has been curtailed significantly (especially when compared with the two preceding years) and the worldwide orderbook has significantly deflated during the past 12 months, as a result of the excessive volatility that has dominated the freight market this year, Allied Shipping Research in its latest weekly report.
According to Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping Research, beginning with the kingpin of the dry bulk sector, the Capes, has definitely had a remarkable year, with the first half of the year seeing rates hover for several weeks at levels as low as US$3,500 per day, while during the final part this same market managed to reach a peak of just above US$38,000 and held for several months above the US$ 20,000 mark. This instability in the market seems to have enhanced concerns amongst potential investors and as a result we have seen a mere 138 new newbuilding contracts in the year so far.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, this is a significant decline compared to 199 orders that were placed last year, as well as below the 147 orders made back in 2017. As a result, the orderbook has scaled back during the year by approximately 18%, while the orderbook to fleet ratio now holding at around 11%. With 122 vessels expected to be delivered in 2020, second thoughts will be lingering as to the prospects of placing any further new orders any time soon. A similar pattern was to be seen in the Panamax segment, with both the number of new contracts and the total orderbook having thinned out compared to last year. Interest for newbuildings has dropped, with a meagre 22 new vessels having been added to the orderbook this year. The significant amount of deliveries that took place this year is likely to have played a key role in this trend, as we noted 122 vessels being delivered, 126% more than in 2018. If we add to this the 143 units that are anticipated for delivery in 2020, it looks to be a set affair that the bearish sentiment regarding new orders will continue through into the new year.
Moving onto the smaller size segments, Yiannis Vamvakas said, it looks as though the Supramax/ Ultramax size has managed to hold onto much of its appeal, as we saw 44 new contracts placed during the year, just 10 less than 2018. The freight market here too may have been volatile, but with the range having been much thinner the perceived risk seems to have been considerably lower in the eyes of most. In terms of seasonality, the most active period was the May-June period, holding 57% of the total orders placed. Despite this, the orderbook to fleet ratio still stands at around 6.5%. Given that the freight market is showing signs of improving and coupled by the overall more dependable performance noted in this size segment, it is likely that we will continue to see interest for new orders sway this way more so than what we will see in some of the other size segments.
Moving on to the Handysize, Allied Shipping Research noted that, a much more stable market was seen, with 20 new contracts being added to the orderbook, a number almost identical to that of 2018. The orderbook has dropped on an annual basis by approximately 20%, while the new contracts to fleet ratio ended at 0.8%, while it is worth mentioning that the last order noted thus far was back in June. The slowdown in dry bulk newbuilding activity has undoubtedly been an encouraging factor as it boosts optimism that the supply side of the industry will not slip beyond manageable levels. However, the scheduled deliveries for 2020 are still at relatively high levels. As such it looks as though next year will prove pivotal in determine the longer-term prospects of the market.
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Saturday, 30 November 19
PANAMAX: LEVELS IMPROVED IN THE PACIFIC MARKET TOO WITH $11,000 BEING CONCLUDED ON AN 81,000DWT SHIP FOR AN INDONESIA TO CHINA COAL TRIP - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market has been well supported over the past week, led primarily by the Atlantic Basin. After bottoming last week, sentiment was s ...
Friday, 29 November 19
FITCHRATINGS MAINTAINS NEGATIVE 2020 OUTLOOK ON SHIPPING, AS TIGHTER SUPPLY HELPS, BUT SOFTER DEMAND DRAGS
Fitch’s Sector Outlook: Negative
We maintain a negative sector outlook for global shipping because of the forecast slowdown of ...
Friday, 29 November 19
INDONESIA PRODUCES 390 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN JAN-SEPT: MINISTER - REUTERS
Indonesia’s production of coal for the January-September period was 390 million tonnes, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Arifin Tasrif s ...
Wednesday, 27 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, one could say that the wet market has maintained the strong pace observed during the third qu ...
Tuesday, 26 November 19
PREPARATIONS INTENSIFY AS 1 JANUARY 2020 GLOBAL CUT IN SULPHUR IN SHIP'S FUEL OIL LOOMS: IMO
“IMO 2020” requirements for ships to cut sulphur oxide emissions enter into effect in just over one month’s time. This will signi ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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