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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Saturday, 07 December 19
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL PRICE SURGE, WHILE OTHERS LANGUISH, IS TROUBLING - REUTERS
Coal prices around the world are gently sliding as demand from top importers such as China, India and even Europe remains subdued amid a so far mil ...
Saturday, 07 December 19
SUPRAMAX: OVERALL, THE BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX REMAINED IN POSITIVE MODE, DESPITE SOME AREAS LACKING FRESH ACTIVITY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
This week the Capesize market maintained healthy earnings, as an end of year surge took the Capesize 5TC back up to $25,202 by mid-wee ...
Friday, 06 December 19
INDONESIA COAL BENCHMARK PRICE FOR DECEMBER INCREASES BY US 3 CENTS MOM
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised up the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal co ...
Thursday, 05 December 19
IMO 2020 IS ABOUT TO GET REAL - GAVIN THOMPSON
As I write this edition of the APAC Energy Buzz from my desk in Singapore I can see ships. Lots of ships. No surprise given that Singapore is among ...
Wednesday, 04 December 19
FITCH RATINGS: CASH FLOW GENERATION TO SLOW DOWN FOR INDONESIAN COAL MINERS
Fitch Ratings' negative outlook on the Indonesian coal-mining sector reflects our view of weaker cash flow generation on account of declining c ...
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- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- PTC India Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
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