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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Tuesday, 14 December 21
COAL LOCK-IN IN SOUTHEAST ASIA PRESENTS A CHALLENGE FOR THE ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK'S COAL RETIREMENT PLAN - IEEFA
In August, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) announced an ambitious plan to buy high emissions coal-fired power plants in Southeast Asia and retire ...
Saturday, 11 December 21
BUNKER BUYERS LOSE UP TO $5/MT FOR NOT COVERING ENOUGH SUPPLIERS - INTEGR8 FUELS
With the Brent price recently touching the $80 mark and before the Omicron variant concerns pushed it lower, bunker prices reached levels not seen ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
SUPERCYCLE DEMAND: ARE WE THERE YET? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Taking young children on a long journey is fraught with challenges, not least the inevitable question a few minutes after leaving: are we there yet ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
COAL WOULD REMAIN ENERGY LEADER FOR AT LEAST 15 YEARS - LIVEMINT
Coal India Ltd (CIL) has been in the eye of the storm after fuel stocks at coal-fuelled power plants depleted in October. Fuel stocks since are bei ...
Tuesday, 07 December 21
GLOBAL SHIPPING OUTLOOK TURNS STABLE FROM POSITIVE ON THE BACK OF PEAKING EARNINGS DURING 2021 - MOODY'S
The outlook for the global shipping industry is changed to stable from positive for the next 12 to 18 months due to demand slightly outstripping su ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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