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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Wednesday, 25 April 18
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - THEODOROS NTALAKOS
We had the opportunity to be part of Intertanko's Hellenic Mediterranean Panel last week in the SNFCC and to present an outlook on the tanker f ...
Tuesday, 24 April 18
IMPORTING INDONESIAN COAL MAKES SENSE FOR INDIAN COASTAL PLANTS EVEN WHEN IT IS COSTLIER THAN INDIAN - ECONOMIC TIMES
Rising Indonesian coal production and lower Chinese demand have pulled down Indonesian coal prices by 22% over the last 45 days, a trend that augur ...
Tuesday, 24 April 18
IMO AIMS TO HALVE GLOBAL SHIPPING EMISSIONS - BUT WHAT WILL IT COST? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global bunker fuel costs could rise by up to US$60 billion annually from 2020, in a full compliance scenario, when the International Maritim ...
Tuesday, 24 April 18
TWO 56K-DWT OPEN HONG KONG AND SINGAPORE WERE FIXED FOR INDONESIA COAL TRIPS TO CHINA, AT $9,500 AND $11,000 RESPECTIVELY - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
This week has seen the Cape 5 timecharter weighted average almost double. Similarly, the Brazil to China ore rates climbed over $4.50, f ...
Wednesday, 18 April 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - STELIOS KOLLINTZAS
The return of traders and charterers from the Easter festivities came along with a slight increase in activity across the edible oil markets. Howev ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- White Energy Company Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
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