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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Tuesday, 02 October 18
PANAMAX: A FURTHER RISE ACROSS ALL MAIN ROUTES THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize
Finally an upward recovery was in sight in the spot market the past few days, after the prolonged negative pressure noted the weeks pr ...
Tuesday, 02 October 18
THE PRICE OF OIL CONTINUES ITS CLIMB AMIDST A SERIES OF CONCERNS REGARDING SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It has been a busy week for oil traders as the price of oil continues its climb amidst a series of concerns regarding supply constraints.
...
Tuesday, 02 October 18
INDONESIA GETS READY TO MEET INCREASED COAL DEMAND FROM CHINA, FREIGHT TO RESPOND - MIKAL BOE
Indonesian coal suppliers have increased their domestic coal production target by 4.5 percent from a previous 485 million tonnes to a massive 507 m ...
Monday, 01 October 18
SUPRAMAX: A 56,000 DWT FIXED DELIVERY FOR A SURABAYA TRIP WITH REDELIVERY TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $13,500 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A stop-start market for the big ships with many expectations and few fulfilled. Holidays curtailed trading early in the week, but the ...
Monday, 01 October 18
A NO-DEAL BREXIT WILL UNDOUBTEDLY HAVE CONSEQUENCES FOR IMPORTERS AND EXPORTERS - KATE JONES, THE BALTIC BRIEFING
If you live in the UK, you might be finding it difficult to get away from the Brexit debate. “Hard Brexit”, “soft Brexit”, ...
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- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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