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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Monday, 29 October 18
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN AREA SAW FALLING RATES, WITH A 61,000DWT FIXING DELIVERY KOHSICHANG TRIP VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY INDIA, AT $10,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A market of two halves for most of the week with rates in the Atlantic firming and easing in the East for most of the week, but then, ...
Friday, 26 October 18
SHIP OPERATING COSTS EXPECTED TO RISE IN 2018 AND 2019 - MOORE STEPHENS
Total vessel operating costs in the shipping industry are expected to rise by 2.7% in 2018 and by 3.1% in 2019, according to our latest survey.
...
Friday, 26 October 18
SEVERAL CONTRACTIONS IN GLOBAL STEEL PRODUCTION - JEFFREY LANDSBERG
World Steel Association data released today shows that global crude steel production totaled approximately 151.7 million tons in September. T ...
Thursday, 25 October 18
WHAT DOES THE "IMO 2020" REGULATION REALLY SAY? A QUICK GUIDE - BIMCO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The shipping industry has all eyes firmly fixed on the topic, but what exactly do the “IMO 2020” global sulph ...
Wednesday, 24 October 18
MARKET INSIGHT - NASSOS SOULAKIS
Looking at 2018 SnP activity, it is evident that Greek, Chinese and North European (German and Norwegian) owners are the top buying nationalities, ...
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- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
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