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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Wednesday, 05 December 18
WORLD COAL PRICES FALL, WITH INDONESIA BENCHMARK FOR DECEMBER, ENDING AT LOWEST SINCE JUNE 2018
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 05 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GIANNIS ANDRITSOPOULOS
Is the rise in crude carrier rates driven only by seasonality, or is the recent positive reversal signaling the end of challenging days for the mar ...
Monday, 03 December 18
WCA'S ENGAGEMENT AT COP24 IN KATOWICE - WCA
The 24th Conference of the Parties (COP) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) will take place from the 2-14 December 2018 in K ...
Monday, 03 December 18
SUPRAMAX: FIXED DELIVERY KALIMANTAN TO WEST COAST INDIA, AT $11000 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A roller-coaster week for the big ships with hopes soaring at the start for a mini last quarter revival, only to be dashed as the week ...
Sunday, 02 December 18
TRADE WAR LEADING TO HEADWINDS FOR THE FRAGILE DRY BULK RECOVERY - PETER SAND, BIMCO
The first twelve weeks of the 2018/19 marketing year, which started on 1 September 2018, have painted a dire picture for US soya bean exports which ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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