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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Saturday, 06 April 19
SUPRAMAX: IT WAS A POOR WEEK OVERALL FOR THE BALTIC SUPRAMAX INDEX, WHICH LOST GROUND - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market over the past week looked to have found a floor on Tuesday with the BCI 5TC at $3460 before firming into the rest ...
Thursday, 04 April 19
OVERSUPPLY STILL MAJOR CHALLENGE WARNS ICS
Speaking in Istanbul, Simon Bennett, Deputy Secretary General of the International Chamber of Shipping (ICS) warned that avoiding overcapacity and ...
Thursday, 04 April 19
GLENCORE, TOHOKU ELECTRIC SET COAL CONTRACT PRICE AT $94.75/T - SOURCE, REUTERS REPORTED
Global miner Glencore and Japan’s Tohoku Electric Power agreed on a price of $94.75 per tonne for supplies of thermal coal from Australia for ...
Monday, 01 April 19
FORCE MAJEURE SUCCESS NOT A SEA CHANGE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
It is difficult to successfully argue that contractual performance has been prevented or delayed by force majeure. This i ...
Monday, 01 April 19
AUSTRALIAN COAL AT RISK FROM CHINA MOVE, WARNS GOVERNMENT REPORT - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
A new government report warns China’s restrictions on coal imports is the number one risk for Australian coal this year and could lead to a s ...
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- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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