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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Tuesday, 07 May 19
UNDOUBTEDLY A VERY TROUBLED YEAR FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, SAYS ALLIED SHIPPING
Undoubtedly a very troubled year for the dry bulk market says Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis, Re ...
Saturday, 04 May 19
HOW THE 'FAIR VALUE' OF COAL ASSETS IS AFFECTED BY COMMODITY CYCLES - CRU
As with any commodity, valuing coal assets can be tricky due to the cyclical nature of the market. In this insight, CRU discusses how commodity cyc ...
Friday, 03 May 19
SUPRAMAX: WITH WIDESPREAD HOLIDAYS DURING THE WEEK, THE MARKET LACKED IMPETUS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market last week was a tale of two halves, with substantial volatility. Beginning the week on a positive note the C5 West Australi ...
Friday, 03 May 19
COAL INDIA APRIL OUTPUT RISES 1% TO 45.29 MILLION TONNE - PTI
Coal India Ltd (CIL) Wednesday said its coal production in April 2019 rose by 1 per cent to 45.29 million tonne as compared with 44.86 million tonn ...
Sunday, 28 April 19
SUPRAMAX: A 54,000DWT VESSEL OPEN GRESIK FIXED VIA AUSTRALIA, REDELIVERY CHINA, IN THE MID $12,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Following the holidays, activity increased in both the Pacific and Atlantic Basins. The 5TC average rallied, closing at $8,596, up $1, ...
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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