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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Monday, 21 October 19
COAL TO PLAY SIGNIFICANT ROLE IN SOUTH AFRICA POWER MIX - MINISTER, REUTERS REPORTED
South Africa’s plans for additional power generation over the next decade will involve a variety of energy sources, with coal still playing a ...
Monday, 21 October 19
ULTRAMAX: IN ASIA, TRIPS FROM THE SINGAPORE AREA WERE PAYING BETWEEN $14,000 AND $16,000, DEPENDING ON THE VESSEL SIZE AND DURATION - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market traded in a relatively stable supported manner in the Pacific this week while the Atlantic experienced weakening turbulence ...
Friday, 18 October 19
WHY CRUDE TANKER RATES JUST FELL (HALFWAY) BACK TO EARTH - FREIGHT WAVES
Panic drove crude-tanker rates up, very briefly, to mind-bogglingly high assessed levels of around $300,000 per day. Now, the fear factor has been ...
Friday, 18 October 19
SHORT TERM STRENGTH FOR OZ COMMODITIES - BALTIC BRIEFING
Volatility in the global commodity markets is not expected to unduly rattle Australia’s commodity outlook through 2020, but the 2021 picture ...
Friday, 18 October 19
SINGAPORE'S APEX TO LAUNCH LOW-SULFUR FUEL OIL CONTRACT AHEAD OF NEW SHIPPING RULES - REUTERS
Singapore-based Asia Pacific Exchange (APEX) will launch a low-sulfur fuel oil (LSFO) futures contract on Friday aimed at helping shipping and ener ...
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
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