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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Thursday, 19 March 20
A CRUDE TSUNAMI: UP TO 3 MILLION BPD OF EXTRA OIL CAN HIT THE MARKET FROM APRIL, MORE COMING IN MAY - RYSTAD ENERGY
The extra oil coming into the global market from April will be as much as 3 million barrels per day (bpd), Rystad Energy estimates. Two million bpd ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
BIMCO REVISES 2020 FORECAST FOR MAIN SHIPPING MARKETS
The coronavirus pandemic is impacting global shipping demand for 2020 negatively. The speed of the virus spread makes it difficult to assess the fu ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
U.S. COAL EXPORTS DECLINED IN 2019 - EIA
In 2019, U.S. coal exports declined to 93 million short tons (MMst), a 20% decrease from the previous year, according to the U.S. Energy Informatio ...
Thursday, 19 March 20
SOUTH KOREA'S KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR MIN 3,700 OR MIN 4,200 NCV LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO), has issued an international tender for total 160,000 MT (±10%) (80,000 x 2 Panamax) of ...
Wednesday, 18 March 20
DRY BULK: INDONESIAN COAL CARGOES PROVIDING A BIG BOOST IN THE EAST WHERE SENTIMENT FOR HANDIES ALSO STARTED IMPROVING - INTERMODAL
The BDI ended last week with small gains on the back of an encouraging number of cargoes out of key trading regions that helped sustain the reserve ...
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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