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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Wednesday, 25 March 20
CORONAVIRUS CRISIS IS CRUSHING GLOBAL GDP GROWTH - FITCH RATINGS
The coronavirus crisis is crushing global GDP growth according to Fitch Ratings in its latest quarterly “Global Economic Outlook” (GEO) ...
Wednesday, 25 March 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
There is no doubt that the Covid-19 pandemic crisis is a world-shattering event that will change the world as we know it. Societies are facing chal ...
Wednesday, 25 March 20
INDONESIA TO CANCEL RULES REQUIRING DOMESTIC SHIPS FOR COAL, PALM EXPORTS : REFINITIV
Indonesia's government will revoke rules requiring exporters of coal and palm oil to use domestic shipping companies for shipments, Coordinatin ...
Wednesday, 25 March 20
JAN-FEB 2020, INDONESIA SHIPPED 64.5 MLN TONNES OF COAL, UP +3.4% YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
In the 12 months of calendar 2019, Indonesia exported 386.4 mln tonnes of coal, according to vessel tracking data from Refinitiv. This represents a ...
Tuesday, 24 March 20
MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
As countries around the world struggle to take back control of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic the global economy shuts down bit by bit, leaving only ...
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- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- White Energy Company Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The University of Queensland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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