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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Tuesday, 07 April 20
IS CHINA EMBARKING ON A MAJOR EXPANSION OF COAL-FIRED POWER GENERATION? - WOOD MACKENZIE
As energy companies worldwide grapple with the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic, long-term planning continues. Ahead of the release of t ...
Tuesday, 07 April 20
COAL INDIA'S DISPATCHES DROP, OUTPUT INCREASES - THE HINDU
India’s largest coal producer Coal India Ltd. (CIL) has seen a 10% fall in dispatches in March 2020 due to a sharp fall in demand from the po ...
Tuesday, 07 April 20
CORONAVIRUS AND LOCKDOWNS DRAG DOWN THE INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE IN APRIL
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of the Indonesian ther ...
Monday, 06 April 20
A 52,000DWT SHIP FIXING DELIVERY SINGAPORE TRIP, VIA INDONESIA, REDELIVERY TAIWAN, AT $3,100 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market this past week looks to have come off life support and found some improved sentiment. The week began rather ordina ...
Monday, 06 April 20
INDIA'S 21-DAY LOCKDOWN - IMPACT ON COMMODITIES? - WOOD MACKENZIE
India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March, to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this me ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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