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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Monday, 18 May 20
TAKING ADVANTAGE OF VIRUS DISTRACTION - BALTIC EXCHANGE
As the industry grapples to deal with exceptional Covid-19-related challenges, a deeper threat is coming to the fore. At this time of crisis, more ...
Monday, 18 May 20
THERMAL COAL SPOT PRICE TUMBLES 25 PER CENT, PUTTING PRESSURE ON SOME PRODUCERS - ABC RURAL
The spot price for thermal coal has fallen 25 per cent per cent in the past month with one leading analyst saying it is because of a reduction in d ...
Monday, 18 May 20
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT UP 1.3 PCT IN JANUARY-APRIL: XINHUA
Output of raw coal in China rose 1.3 percent year on year to 1.15 billion tonnes in the first four months this year, official data showed.
&nbs ...
Sunday, 17 May 20
A 55,000 OPEN ILIGAN FIXING AT $6,500 VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY INDIA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A precipitous fall in the market this week had the Capesize 5TC shedding over 50 per cent in value. A small rebound at the end of the ...
Friday, 15 May 20
CHINA'S COAL CONSUMPTION TO FALL Y/Y IN SECOND QUARTER, IMPROVEMENT EXPECTED IN SECOND HALF - INDUSTRY BODY: REUTERS
China’s coal consumption is expected to decline in the second quarter from a year earlier, but will see an improvement in the second half of ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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