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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Wednesday, 24 March 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Since the start of the pandemic, the shipping industry has efficiently responded to ensure the continuity of operations and hence the security of s ...
Tuesday, 23 March 21
LOWER WHOLESALE PRICES PUT PRESSURE ON AUSTRALIAN ENERGY RETAILERS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects the low wholesale energy prices in the Australian National Energy Market to persist through to 2022, which will affect electr ...
Tuesday, 23 March 21
SCRUBBER-FITTED SHIPS NEARLY DOUBLE AS FUEL SPREAD SETTLES AT $118 PER MT - PETER SAND
As the lion’s share of the world fleet replaced high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) with low-sulphur fuel oil (LFSO) as a mean of propulsion to be c ...
Tuesday, 23 March 21
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT EDGES UP IN FIRST TWO MONTHS - XINHUA
China’s raw coal output rose 25 percent year on year to 620 million tonnes in the first two months of 2021, official data showed.
...
Wednesday, 17 March 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Shipping market players are familiar with the inverse correlation between the freight market and demolition activity i.e. when the market picks up ...
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- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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- McConnell Dowell - Australia
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- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
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- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
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- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
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- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
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- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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- Economic Council, Georgia
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- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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