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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Saturday, 08 May 21
LNG-TO-POWER INVESTORS IN THE PHILIPPINES RISK EXPOSURE TO $14 BILLION IN STRANDED ASSETS - IEEFA
High regulatory and financial uncertainty in the Philippines market
The race to develop liquified natural gas (LNG) facilities in th ...
Saturday, 08 May 21
THE COAL-TO-RENEWABLES TRANSITION TAKES OFF - IEEFA
Pre-Biden changes underscore coming 10-year wave of coal plant retirements
The traditional S-curve growth exhibited by disruptive te ...
Friday, 07 May 21
CHINA'S TOTAL COAL IMPORTS FOR 2020 REACHED A VOLUME OF 304 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
Our benchmarks, manufacturing Countries like China, Germany, Japan, India, South Korea and Taiwan will continue to use a mix of coal and nuclear to ...
Friday, 07 May 21
SEABORNE WORLD COAL TRADE CLOSED 2020 IN NEGATIVE - ASSOCARBONI
Coal confirmed its leadership as leading fuel for electricity generation also in 2020, accounting for 38% of overall production. For the first time ...
Friday, 07 May 21
INDONESIA'S THERMAL COAL EXPORTS IN 2020 DECREASED BY 13%; INDIA REMAINED THE TOP DESTINATION FOR INDONESIAN COAL - ASSOCARBONI
An increase in seaborne trade is forecast for 2022, driven by markets in Southeast Asia, where growing demand for coal from Bangladesh, the Philipp ...
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- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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