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Monday, 16 December 19
THE OUTLOOK FOR U.S. THERMAL COAL IS INCREASINGLY STRESSED - MOODY'S
 - Slowing global economic growth, trade tensions will continue to exert influence
- Coal's secular decline will persist in 2020
Moody's Investors Service maintains negative 2020 outlooks for the US coal and US steel industries and a stable outlook for the global base metals sector, amid slowing economic growth and trade frictions, the rating agency says in its annual report.
The stable outlook for global base metals is driven by supply/demand fundamentals despite weaker GDP rates and lower Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs). However, a challenging macro operating environment warrants some caution for the sector.
"Geopolitical and economic concerns as well as trade tensions will once again overshadow the global base metals markets in 2020, continuing the pressures experienced as 2019 as deceleration in global economies took hold," says Carol Cowan, Moody's Senior Vice President. "ESG considerations will also continue to increase in visibility, demanding more transparency and improvement from the industry."
Moody's negative outlook for the US steel industry reflects its expectation that weaker fundamentals will hold in 2020, prices will not rebound significantly and planned new capacity will weigh on market sentiment.
"It's a tale of 2 steels – EAF producers will continue to benefit from lower scrap costs, helping mitigate lower realized steel prices, while blast furnace producers will continue to face higher iron ore costs and likely-increasing costs related to environmental compliance," says Cowan.
Meanwhile, Moody's expects US coal producers' cumulative EBITDA to decline by more than 3% over the next 12 months, due to a substantive decrease in export prices in 2019 among other factors.
"The outlook for thermal coal is increasingly stressed, with ESG factors weighing heavily on demand from utilities," says Benjamin Nelson, Moody's VP-Senior Credit Officer. "Our long-term outlook for North American thermal coal calls for a substantial volume reduction over the next decade, driven by utilities switching to natural gas, where we expect prices will remain low, and renewable energy, which still benefit from government subsidies."
Moody's outlooks for 2020 consider fundamental credit conditions that will affect sectors for the next 12-18 months.
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Wednesday, 31 January 24
CHINA'S INNER MONGOLIA COAL OUTPUT HIT 1.21B TONS IN 2023 - XINHUA
North China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region churned out 1.21 billion tons of coal in 2023 as it strives to guarantee the country’s e ...
Wednesday, 31 January 24
GAS EXPORTS COST U.S. CONSUMERS MORE THAN $100 BILLION OVER 16-MONTH PERIOD - IEEFA
Limited Demand Growth Could Dampen the Dry Bulk Market in the Coming Months BIMCOStarting in late 2021—before its invasion of Ukraine—R ...
Tuesday, 30 January 24
LIMITED DEMAND GROWTH COULD DAMPEN THE DRY BULK MARKET IN THE COMING MONTHS - BIMCO
Demand
In our base scenario, we expect cargo demand to grow by 0-1% in 2024 and 0.5-1.5% in 2025. This is a 0.5 percentage point reduction for ...
Friday, 26 January 24
RED SEA DIVERSIONS ADD NEARLY A MILLION DOLLARS PER VOYAGE TO SHIPPING COSTS WHILE DOUBLING TRANSIT TIME - LSEG
The incremental costs of diverting a tanker from Asia to NW Europe via the Cape of Good Hope is accounting for an extra $932,905 USD per voyage whi ...
Friday, 26 January 24
HARD COAL GUARDIAN ANGEL OF THE ENERGY SUPPLY - GERMANY COAL IMPORTERS ASSOCIATION
- No security of supply without hard coal
- The Substitute Power Plant Provision Act (EKBG) must be extended
- Higher grid fees due to the ...
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- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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