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Wednesday, 20 November 19
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS IN COMMERCIAL COAL MINING IN INDIA? - DIPESH DIPU
 In August 2019, Government of India announced its approval for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for coal mining, processing and sale. Not that FDI in coal mining sector was new, but novelty in that was that government now permitted foreign ownership of coal mines for commercial sale of coal produced from such mines. He justifications provided by government sources included need for competition in a sector that has been traditionally dominated by government-owned companies Coal India Limited and Singareni Collieries Company Limited; need for enhanced production as here has been shortfall in meeting demand; and, need for newer technologies that may bring in sustainability to coal mining. These indeed are commendable objectives and opening up the sector for foreign participation may certainly be considered a step in the right direction. However, public policy needs to be grounded in realism, and the reality of attractiveness of commercial coal mining in India does not bode well for foreign participation.
The response of government-owned companies for coal blocks on offer for allotment for commercial coal mining was announced in early August 2019 provides the evidence. Nine coal blocks were put on offer for sale of coal in markets and the eligibility for these were restricted to government-owned companies including the state government-owned ones. There were, however, only three coal blocks[1] that received applications by NMDC Limited, Jharkhand State Mineral Development Corporation and Madhya Pradesh State Mining Corporation. This lukewarm response may indicate towards the market sentiments for commercial coal mining in India. It must also be considered here that the coal blocks for allotment for government-owned companies do not have the two-stage auction based bidding for winning the blocks and, thus, the pay-out required to win these coal blocks may be lower in comparison to coal blocks put out for auctions. So, even with lower additional pay-out to government in the form of premium the coal blocks have not found many takers. There may be several underlying economic reasons, which are amplified for foreign participants, and thus, require consideration to evaluate if this approval for FDI in commercial coal mining would have any impact and if it would meet its stated objectives.
The first and the foremost is the economic feasibility of these mines. The foreign, and indeed any private company, would have to participate in auction process for winning a coal block, and commit to a competitive premium to access the resources. This has been an impediment for private sector participation in India, given the evidence of coal blocks awarded for captive consumption in power and non-regulated sectors that include cement, steel and other approved end users. There seems to be some sanity dawning on participants on these auction with every successive rounds of auction, seen from the lower winning premiums, and hence, it may be expected that the trend may continue. Nonetheless, the premium will certainly erode the margins for commercial miners, the extent of this erosion would be a function of degree of competition for the coal blocks. The margins are also likely to be uncertain in view of the price volatility of coal, which in Indian market is pegged with CIL price and a certain premium that reflects typically the discount that IL prices tend to have over energy-equivalent international prices. This uncertainty of prices is likely to be confounded by the uncertainty in demand-supply gap that these commercial miners are required to fulfil. There has been a shortfall in supply in the recent past, evident from the rise in coal imports in the last two years even with the stated objective of the government to reduce coal imports. This may present itself as an opportunity. However, the question is whether this shortfall is likely to sustain, and thus, create a marketplace for commercial miners. With a slump in thermal power generation and nearly absent pipeline of new coal based projects, this assumption may be quite a big one to make and decide in favour of making foreign direct investment in Indian coal mining.
Other important risks pertain to project execution. There have been several impediments in coal mining project implementations, such as procurement of licenses and permits, acquisition of land and rehabilitation and resettlement of project affected people. These, apart from the procedural challenges, involve risk of reputation. Business practices on all these accounts in mining sector have often been marred with controversies and have led to perceptions of externalities in these processes having significant influence on the outcomes. Foreign participants in Indian mining have been wary of these, and hence, have had little success to show even though they have had offices and a few exploration and contract mining projects in India. Apart from reputation, the risks in procurement of licenses and land acquisition create the risks of project delays, which may then translate into cost escalations, thereby impacting project economics. Coal mining projects may have such challenges in attracting foreign direct investment.
There are challenges of talent shortage and financing as well. Innovative technologies that the foreign miners are likely to bring in India will require high quality geo-statisticians, geologists, mine planners and mining engineers. India does produce graduates in these areas of study but quantities do no necessarily reflect quality, which are further compounded by the brain drain of talent into other industries, primarily, information technology. Mining industry in general, and coal mining in particular, has not been able to retain relent in the last decade or so, with advent of opportunities for the smart geoscientists and engineers in alternate industries. Foreign mining companies may find this crippling.
There are challenges in financing too. Coal mining projects may have been good candidates for resource-based financing, but that has not happened on account of several factors, not the least of those being dominance of government-owned companies priding themselves on debt-free balance sheets, and the quality of geological information that may be inferior to global standards. The market for debt for coal mining then often reduces itself to equipment financing with the equipment being securitised to the lenders. Globally preferred model of equipment leasing is still in its relatively early stages of comprehension and acceptance in Indian mining. With limited options of raising finances, the higher degree of equity investments may also be a deterrent for foreign investors as the may have comparable projects competing for scarce capital.
Coal mining industry has been on a downward spiral globally. Foreign large miners have divested or are divesting their stakes in coal projects. Global bankers have committed themselves to not financing coal and coal based power projects. Insurance companies are shying away from coal projects too. The ecosystem for coal mining project execution is dying. Epitaphs are being written on coal and its demise is predicted by governments, investors and policy analysts wold over. But for the coal addiction of Asia, China and India in particular, the demise may have been sooner. Under such gloomy outlook for the industry, with coal mining companies filing for bankruptcies frequently, it would be tough to get these foreign companies to look at Indian destinations favourably. An industry staring at terminal decline may not witness new investors, and old ones that may have been facing severe challenges in their home countries to look out for opportunities in India.
Optimism at this point of time of foreign miners participating in Indian coal mining sector, that presents a challenging business environment, may be misplaced. Only when the government calls for applications for coal blocks for sale of coal with permitted participation for foreign direct investment that the final picture shall emerge.
By Dipesh Dipu
Energy, Natural Resources and Infrastructure Expert
This article originaly published on economictimes and Linkedin
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Saturday, 15 June 19
SUPRAMAX: A 58,000-TONNER, OPEN QINGDAO, WAS BOOKED TO REDELIVER IN EAST COAST INDIA AT $6,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market closed on a quiet Friday last week after a few hectic days of mid-week trading. Trade routes from Brazil to the Far East we ...
Friday, 14 June 19
PANAMAX: OUTLOOK IS MIXED - FERNLEYS
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Sentiment changed to a more nervous tone as pacific cargo volumes failed to deliver as expected, however latest activity indicates res ...
Friday, 14 June 19
ELECTRONIC (PAPERLESS) TRADING - SKULD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Electronic Shipping Solutions: Bolero International Ltd, E-Title Authority Pte Ltd, Global Share S.A. (edoxOnline platfor ...
Wednesday, 12 June 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 140,000 MT OF 4,600 NCV COAL FOR SEP. 2019 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 140,000 MT of minimum 4,600 kcal/kg NCV coal ...
Wednesday, 12 June 19
IMO 2020 - COUNTDOWN TO 1 JANUARY 2020 -HOW WILL THE CHANGES AFFECT REFINING AND SHIPPING? - WOOD MACKENZIE
We know that the IMO’s regulations represent the biggest step change the shipping industry has ever seen and the implications will be felt th ...
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
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