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Wednesday, 06 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 With less than two months before the end of the year, the shipping and refining industries have already taken measures and invested to accommodate the IMO 2020 regulations. As the implementation date for the 0.5% sulphur cap approaches, the U.S. EIA expects that the swing in petroleum product pricing will be most acute in 2020 and the effects on prices will be moderate after that. However, the regulations will inevitably affect petroleum supply, demand, and trade flows on a long-term basis while shipowners, operators and charterers around the world are carefully preparing marine fuel supplies ahead.
As already extensively analysed operators of vessels have a few options, from switching to a lower-sulphur fuel or installing scrubbers to even switching to nonpetroleum-based fuels, such as liquefied natural gas (LNG). To enable a prosperous transition the industry demands increased on-board operational expertise and detailed product knowledge both on the supplying and the receiving vessel. Originally MGO was declared the primary winner since most of the bunker products did not met the sulphur content limit of 0.5%. However, with less than two months ahead of the implementation, it seems that the scale of the MGO demand swipe will not be as great as expected. In its place, very-low sulfur fuel oil (VLSFO) has been developed as a dark horse to challenge MGO as a stand-in for high-sulfur fuel oil, with a 3.5% sulfur limit, when the switch is activated.
VLSFO is already available in various locations across Asia, Middle East, Africa and the Americas as of mid-October, while it will be made available to additional ports during November and December. Even though demand up until recently has not been as high we are now seeing both supply and demand rapidly increasing. During the first half of October, supply of VLSFO surpassed demand in many areas and as argued by suppliers, this is because ship-owners that initially wanted to start bunkering VLSFO postponed their purchases for November and December. The market disturbance caused by the transition to IMO 2020 is apparent as the supply side of HSFO has begun running down stocks. Furthermore, tank barges that have been stowing HSFO are being taken out of service to be cleaned and get readied for VLSFO or MGO. Concurrently, suppliers and traders are reluctant to substitute HSFO stocks as they anticipate rapidly declining demand towards the end of 2019. This reduced supply capacity comes at a time when shipping still needs fuel, and the vast majority of bunker demand is still for HSFO.
To conclude, the transition to the 0.50% sulphur limit will cause disruption and more volatility than usual for a while but the market will eventually adapt as it always does. Worldwide, the shipping industry was primarily sceptical about the quality of VLSFO, but as 2020 approaches confidence for VLSFO grows among market members. Operators are projected to lean towards the lower cost option that will replace the 3.6 million barrels per day of HSFO that the shipping industry currently consumes. There is still speculation rather than solid fact about the price differential between high sulphur fuel and VLSFO price in the beginning of 2020, with some analysts predicting a potential range of $40-$200 between the two grades.
By Katerina Restis
Tanker Chartering
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 20 November 19
FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENTS IN COMMERCIAL COAL MINING IN INDIA? - DIPESH DIPU
In August 2019, Government of India announced its approval for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) for coal mining, processing and sale. Not that FDI i ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
AUSTRALIA'S NEW HOPE POSTS 66% SURGE IN Q1 SALEABLE COAL OUTPUT - REUTERS
Australian coal producer New Hope Corp Ltd reported on Tuesday a 66% jump in saleable coal production in the first quarter, as output ramped up at ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
THE IMO AND THE PRICE OF GAS OR THE IMPACT OF THE INTERNATIONAL MARITIME ORGANISATION'S SULPHUR 2020 LIMIT FOR MARINE FUEL OIL ON THE PRICE OF GAS - KING & SPALDING
The main bunker fuel for ships is High Sulphur Fuel Oil (HSFO, with sulphur up to 3.5% m/m (mass by mass)). This will all change on 1 January 2020 ...
Wednesday, 20 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
While the market expects the next OPEC meeting, there are still no clear signs indicating that the organization will keep supporting oil prices, wh ...
Monday, 18 November 19
CHINA RECORDS STABLE COAL PRODUCTION IN JAN-OCT: XINHUA
China’s raw coal output registered stable growth in the first 10 months, while its imports remained robust, official data showed.
...
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- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
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