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Wednesday, 10 April 19
CHINA'S GROWING THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO PRESSURE EXPORTERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Growing Chinese thermal coal supply is likely to lead to further tightening of import controls by the government, putting pressure on seaborne coal prices and adding order uncertainties for exporters, Fitch Ratings and CRU say. Miners from Australian and Indonesia are the most exposed, but the credit impact is muted thanks to sufficient rating headroom as we have already incorporated a downward pricing trend in our rating assumptions.
The Chinese coal market’s tightness has eased due to a combination of weaker demand and improved domestic supplies. Chinese coal demand has declined as residential power consumption reduced at the end of the winter heating season in mid-March and hydro supply increased in south China due to heavy rains. Chinese domestic coal supply has gradually improved in recent quarters as the pace of capacity closures has slowed and incremental capacity has been expedited to bring down fuel costs, according to CRU. Inventories at the six main power producing groups edged up to 16.0 million tonnes in late March, 13% higher than the average for 2018 of 14.1 million tonnes.
Growing domestic supply is likely to prompt the Chinese government to tighten control over thermal coal imports. This would imply higher order volatility and risks for seaborne coal suppliers targeting the Chinese market, which are mainly miners in Australia and Indonesia. The Chinese government appears to have adopted an on-and-off importing policy since 2017 by implementing stricter checks when domestic supply is sufficient and speeding up clearing when domestic supply is tight. Australian coal cargoes, for example, have been facing increasing delays clearing customs at Chinese ports since February, according to CRU.
While seaborne coal remains price competitive compared to domestic coal, risks of long clearing time and import bans may discourage Chinese consumers from using seaborne coal, especially when domestic supply is sufficient.
Australian coal producers are likely to face the risk of order cancellation, and to some degree, be forced to compete for sales in alternative countries. This may lead to weak prices in the seaborne market, especially for the mid-content-value coal of around 5,500kcal/kg that Chinese importers typically buy from Australia.
Imports from Indonesia have been less affected by the recent Chinese controls, according to press reports, although Indonesian producers are still likely to come under pressure to find new markets due to overall declining Chinese demand for seaborne coal, as well as increasing Indonesian domestic output, and weaker-than-expected domestic demand.
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Friday, 18 November 22
REALITIES OF LOI LIABILITIES - BALTIC EXCHANGE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The cargo misdelivery claim in Trafigura Maritime Logistics Pte Ltd v. Clearlake Shipping Pte Ltd (Miracle Hope) [2022] E ...
Tuesday, 15 November 22
CHINA SEES RISING COAL STORAGE AMID SUPPLY PUSH - XINHUA
Coal stockpiles at China’s power plants have seen considerable increases, ensuring energy supply for the winter, the country’s energy r ...
Tuesday, 15 November 22
SEABORNE THERMAL COAL PRICES START TO EASE, BUT PROCESS IS UNEVEN - REUTERS
Prices for seaborne thermal coal have started to drop as fears of a winter energy crunch ease, but the rate of decline has varied across the differ ...
Thursday, 10 November 22
INDIA: THERMAL PLANTS HAVE ADEQUATE COAL STOCKS AT 25.6 MILLION TONNES, SAYS GOVT - IANS
The coal stock with domestic dry fuel-based power plants, as on October 31, was 25.6 million tonnes, the government said, adding that the availabil ...
Tuesday, 08 November 22
OUTLOOK ON CHINA’S WEAKENED BASIC MATERIALS SECTOR CLOUDED BY POLICY SWINGS - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects basic materials demand in China to improve qoq in 4Q22, driven by seasonally higher construction activity, solid infrastructu ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Planning Commission, India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
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