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Wednesday, 10 April 19
CHINA'S GROWING THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO PRESSURE EXPORTERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Growing Chinese thermal coal supply is likely to lead to further tightening of import controls by the government, putting pressure on seaborne coal prices and adding order uncertainties for exporters, Fitch Ratings and CRU say. Miners from Australian and Indonesia are the most exposed, but the credit impact is muted thanks to sufficient rating headroom as we have already incorporated a downward pricing trend in our rating assumptions.
The Chinese coal market’s tightness has eased due to a combination of weaker demand and improved domestic supplies. Chinese coal demand has declined as residential power consumption reduced at the end of the winter heating season in mid-March and hydro supply increased in south China due to heavy rains. Chinese domestic coal supply has gradually improved in recent quarters as the pace of capacity closures has slowed and incremental capacity has been expedited to bring down fuel costs, according to CRU. Inventories at the six main power producing groups edged up to 16.0 million tonnes in late March, 13% higher than the average for 2018 of 14.1 million tonnes.
Growing domestic supply is likely to prompt the Chinese government to tighten control over thermal coal imports. This would imply higher order volatility and risks for seaborne coal suppliers targeting the Chinese market, which are mainly miners in Australia and Indonesia. The Chinese government appears to have adopted an on-and-off importing policy since 2017 by implementing stricter checks when domestic supply is sufficient and speeding up clearing when domestic supply is tight. Australian coal cargoes, for example, have been facing increasing delays clearing customs at Chinese ports since February, according to CRU.
While seaborne coal remains price competitive compared to domestic coal, risks of long clearing time and import bans may discourage Chinese consumers from using seaborne coal, especially when domestic supply is sufficient.
Australian coal producers are likely to face the risk of order cancellation, and to some degree, be forced to compete for sales in alternative countries. This may lead to weak prices in the seaborne market, especially for the mid-content-value coal of around 5,500kcal/kg that Chinese importers typically buy from Australia.
Imports from Indonesia have been less affected by the recent Chinese controls, according to press reports, although Indonesian producers are still likely to come under pressure to find new markets due to overall declining Chinese demand for seaborne coal, as well as increasing Indonesian domestic output, and weaker-than-expected domestic demand.
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Thursday, 09 May 19
OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN CONGRESS 2019
Offshore Caribbean Congress 2019
Event Date: 4-5th July. 2019t
Location: Georgetown, Guyana
Hess announced a new d ...
Tuesday, 07 May 19
UNDOUBTEDLY A VERY TROUBLED YEAR FOR THE DRY BULK MARKET, SAYS ALLIED SHIPPING
Undoubtedly a very troubled year for the dry bulk market says Allied Shipping in its latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis, Re ...
Saturday, 04 May 19
HOW THE 'FAIR VALUE' OF COAL ASSETS IS AFFECTED BY COMMODITY CYCLES - CRU
As with any commodity, valuing coal assets can be tricky due to the cyclical nature of the market. In this insight, CRU discusses how commodity cyc ...
Friday, 03 May 19
SUPRAMAX: WITH WIDESPREAD HOLIDAYS DURING THE WEEK, THE MARKET LACKED IMPETUS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market last week was a tale of two halves, with substantial volatility. Beginning the week on a positive note the C5 West Australi ...
Friday, 03 May 19
COAL INDIA APRIL OUTPUT RISES 1% TO 45.29 MILLION TONNE - PTI
Coal India Ltd (CIL) Wednesday said its coal production in April 2019 rose by 1 per cent to 45.29 million tonne as compared with 44.86 million tonn ...
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- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Australian Coal Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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