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Wednesday, 10 April 19
CHINA'S GROWING THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO PRESSURE EXPORTERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Growing Chinese thermal coal supply is likely to lead to further tightening of import controls by the government, putting pressure on seaborne coal prices and adding order uncertainties for exporters, Fitch Ratings and CRU say. Miners from Australian and Indonesia are the most exposed, but the credit impact is muted thanks to sufficient rating headroom as we have already incorporated a downward pricing trend in our rating assumptions.
The Chinese coal market’s tightness has eased due to a combination of weaker demand and improved domestic supplies. Chinese coal demand has declined as residential power consumption reduced at the end of the winter heating season in mid-March and hydro supply increased in south China due to heavy rains. Chinese domestic coal supply has gradually improved in recent quarters as the pace of capacity closures has slowed and incremental capacity has been expedited to bring down fuel costs, according to CRU. Inventories at the six main power producing groups edged up to 16.0 million tonnes in late March, 13% higher than the average for 2018 of 14.1 million tonnes.
Growing domestic supply is likely to prompt the Chinese government to tighten control over thermal coal imports. This would imply higher order volatility and risks for seaborne coal suppliers targeting the Chinese market, which are mainly miners in Australia and Indonesia. The Chinese government appears to have adopted an on-and-off importing policy since 2017 by implementing stricter checks when domestic supply is sufficient and speeding up clearing when domestic supply is tight. Australian coal cargoes, for example, have been facing increasing delays clearing customs at Chinese ports since February, according to CRU.
While seaborne coal remains price competitive compared to domestic coal, risks of long clearing time and import bans may discourage Chinese consumers from using seaborne coal, especially when domestic supply is sufficient.
Australian coal producers are likely to face the risk of order cancellation, and to some degree, be forced to compete for sales in alternative countries. This may lead to weak prices in the seaborne market, especially for the mid-content-value coal of around 5,500kcal/kg that Chinese importers typically buy from Australia.
Imports from Indonesia have been less affected by the recent Chinese controls, according to press reports, although Indonesian producers are still likely to come under pressure to find new markets due to overall declining Chinese demand for seaborne coal, as well as increasing Indonesian domestic output, and weaker-than-expected domestic demand.
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Wednesday, 03 July 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The global shipping industry is facing numerous challenges at a time when geopolitical turmoil has escalated in view of the recent tension in the M ...
Monday, 01 July 19
COAL DEMAND RISES, BUT REMAINS BELOW PEAK LEVELS - FORBES
This article is the third in a series on BP’s recently-released Statistical Review of World Energy 2019. The Review provides a comprehensive ...
Saturday, 29 June 19
ULTRAMAX: FROM SOUTHEAST ASIA MORE COAL WAS ENTERING THE MARKET - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market showed variability over the past week, as most routes were active yet sentiment differed from region to region. The Pacific ...
Wednesday, 26 June 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the first half of the year is almost over, it is worth looking back at the sale and purchase activity during these months, focusing on the segme ...
Tuesday, 25 June 19
THERMAL COAL FUTURES ON THE ZHENGSHOU EXCHANGE ROSE - DANIEL HYNES
Coal markets were buoyed by ongoing supply side issues.
According to Daniel Hynes, Senior Commodity Strategist of ANZ, the the ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Australian Coal Association
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
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