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Wednesday, 10 April 19
CHINA'S GROWING THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO PRESSURE EXPORTERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Growing Chinese thermal coal supply is likely to lead to further tightening of import controls by the government, putting pressure on seaborne coal prices and adding order uncertainties for exporters, Fitch Ratings and CRU say. Miners from Australian and Indonesia are the most exposed, but the credit impact is muted thanks to sufficient rating headroom as we have already incorporated a downward pricing trend in our rating assumptions.
The Chinese coal market’s tightness has eased due to a combination of weaker demand and improved domestic supplies. Chinese coal demand has declined as residential power consumption reduced at the end of the winter heating season in mid-March and hydro supply increased in south China due to heavy rains. Chinese domestic coal supply has gradually improved in recent quarters as the pace of capacity closures has slowed and incremental capacity has been expedited to bring down fuel costs, according to CRU. Inventories at the six main power producing groups edged up to 16.0 million tonnes in late March, 13% higher than the average for 2018 of 14.1 million tonnes.
Growing domestic supply is likely to prompt the Chinese government to tighten control over thermal coal imports. This would imply higher order volatility and risks for seaborne coal suppliers targeting the Chinese market, which are mainly miners in Australia and Indonesia. The Chinese government appears to have adopted an on-and-off importing policy since 2017 by implementing stricter checks when domestic supply is sufficient and speeding up clearing when domestic supply is tight. Australian coal cargoes, for example, have been facing increasing delays clearing customs at Chinese ports since February, according to CRU.
While seaborne coal remains price competitive compared to domestic coal, risks of long clearing time and import bans may discourage Chinese consumers from using seaborne coal, especially when domestic supply is sufficient.
Australian coal producers are likely to face the risk of order cancellation, and to some degree, be forced to compete for sales in alternative countries. This may lead to weak prices in the seaborne market, especially for the mid-content-value coal of around 5,500kcal/kg that Chinese importers typically buy from Australia.
Imports from Indonesia have been less affected by the recent Chinese controls, according to press reports, although Indonesian producers are still likely to come under pressure to find new markets due to overall declining Chinese demand for seaborne coal, as well as increasing Indonesian domestic output, and weaker-than-expected domestic demand.
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Tuesday, 05 May 20
SUPRAMAXES: YTD SLIDE HAS BEEN 45%, WITH THE AVERAGE FOR 2020 TCA HOLDING AT US$5,793 - ALLIED
It has been almost three months since the WHO officially categorized the current coronavirus outbreak as a global pandemic, an outbreak that has br ...
Monday, 04 May 20
U.S. ESTIMATED COAL PRODUCTION FALL 39.4% YEAR ON YEAR IN THE WEEK ENDED APRIL 25 - EIA
Estimated U.S. coal production totaled about 8.6 million short tons (MMst) For the week ended April 25, 2020, says EIA in its latest report.
E ...
Saturday, 02 May 20
SUPRAMAX: ASIA, STRONGER NUMBERS - A 55.000-DWT WAS FIXED FROM INDONESIA TO CHINA IN THE MID $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A tepid week for the big ships, as macro concerns continued to weigh heavily on the index. All of the major voyage routes lost value, ...
Friday, 01 May 20
KOSPO INVITED OFFER FOR 5600 NCV COAL FOR Q3 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 260,000 Metric Tons (MT) steam coal for Boryeong Power ...
Friday, 01 May 20
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND TO FALL BY ABOUT 8% IN 2020,THE LARGEST DROP SINCE WORLD WAR II - IEA
We expect global coal demand to fall by about 8% in 2020, the largest drop since World War II, with coal use declining in virtually every sector of ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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