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Wednesday, 10 April 19
CHINA'S GROWING THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO PRESSURE EXPORTERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Growing Chinese thermal coal supply is likely to lead to further tightening of import controls by the government, putting pressure on seaborne coal prices and adding order uncertainties for exporters, Fitch Ratings and CRU say. Miners from Australian and Indonesia are the most exposed, but the credit impact is muted thanks to sufficient rating headroom as we have already incorporated a downward pricing trend in our rating assumptions.
The Chinese coal market’s tightness has eased due to a combination of weaker demand and improved domestic supplies. Chinese coal demand has declined as residential power consumption reduced at the end of the winter heating season in mid-March and hydro supply increased in south China due to heavy rains. Chinese domestic coal supply has gradually improved in recent quarters as the pace of capacity closures has slowed and incremental capacity has been expedited to bring down fuel costs, according to CRU. Inventories at the six main power producing groups edged up to 16.0 million tonnes in late March, 13% higher than the average for 2018 of 14.1 million tonnes.
Growing domestic supply is likely to prompt the Chinese government to tighten control over thermal coal imports. This would imply higher order volatility and risks for seaborne coal suppliers targeting the Chinese market, which are mainly miners in Australia and Indonesia. The Chinese government appears to have adopted an on-and-off importing policy since 2017 by implementing stricter checks when domestic supply is sufficient and speeding up clearing when domestic supply is tight. Australian coal cargoes, for example, have been facing increasing delays clearing customs at Chinese ports since February, according to CRU.
While seaborne coal remains price competitive compared to domestic coal, risks of long clearing time and import bans may discourage Chinese consumers from using seaborne coal, especially when domestic supply is sufficient.
Australian coal producers are likely to face the risk of order cancellation, and to some degree, be forced to compete for sales in alternative countries. This may lead to weak prices in the seaborne market, especially for the mid-content-value coal of around 5,500kcal/kg that Chinese importers typically buy from Australia.
Imports from Indonesia have been less affected by the recent Chinese controls, according to press reports, although Indonesian producers are still likely to come under pressure to find new markets due to overall declining Chinese demand for seaborne coal, as well as increasing Indonesian domestic output, and weaker-than-expected domestic demand.
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Tuesday, 27 October 20
PLN STILL REFUSING TO ADAPT, A MOVE WHICH WILL HURT INVESTORS, CONSUMERS, AND THE GOVERNMENT PURSE - IEEFA
Utility’s latest planning report locks PLN into the past
PLN would be better served restructuring its business to address the current en ...
Monday, 26 October 20
'LONG ASCENT' TO RECOVERY OF GLOBAL GROWTH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The global economy has so far avoided a “financial catastrophe” but growth projections from the International Monetary Fund’s lat ...
Friday, 23 October 20
SHIPPING LOANS AND COLLATERAL DAMAGE - VICTOR ONYEGBADO, AKABOGU & ASSOCIATES
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Shipping finance transactions are characterised by peculiar risk factors principally on account of the shipping asset&rsq ...
Friday, 23 October 20
WHAT WILL THE 2020 ELECTIONS MEAN FOR US ENERGY? - WOOD MACKENZIE
The 2020 elections present American voters with a choice between two radically different visions for the future of energy. President Donald Trump r ...
Wednesday, 21 October 20
BRAZIL EXPORTED 238.7 MLN TONNES OF IRON ORE IN THE FIRST 9 MONTHS OF 2020 - BANCHERO COSTA
Brazil’s iron ore exports have been gradually but steadily recovering following a disastrous winter period of 2019/2020. In the first 9 month ...
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- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
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