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Wednesday, 10 April 19
CHINA'S GROWING THERMAL COAL SUPPLY TO PRESSURE EXPORTERS - FITCH RATINGS
 Growing Chinese thermal coal supply is likely to lead to further tightening of import controls by the government, putting pressure on seaborne coal prices and adding order uncertainties for exporters, Fitch Ratings and CRU say. Miners from Australian and Indonesia are the most exposed, but the credit impact is muted thanks to sufficient rating headroom as we have already incorporated a downward pricing trend in our rating assumptions.
The Chinese coal market’s tightness has eased due to a combination of weaker demand and improved domestic supplies. Chinese coal demand has declined as residential power consumption reduced at the end of the winter heating season in mid-March and hydro supply increased in south China due to heavy rains. Chinese domestic coal supply has gradually improved in recent quarters as the pace of capacity closures has slowed and incremental capacity has been expedited to bring down fuel costs, according to CRU. Inventories at the six main power producing groups edged up to 16.0 million tonnes in late March, 13% higher than the average for 2018 of 14.1 million tonnes.
Growing domestic supply is likely to prompt the Chinese government to tighten control over thermal coal imports. This would imply higher order volatility and risks for seaborne coal suppliers targeting the Chinese market, which are mainly miners in Australia and Indonesia. The Chinese government appears to have adopted an on-and-off importing policy since 2017 by implementing stricter checks when domestic supply is sufficient and speeding up clearing when domestic supply is tight. Australian coal cargoes, for example, have been facing increasing delays clearing customs at Chinese ports since February, according to CRU.
While seaborne coal remains price competitive compared to domestic coal, risks of long clearing time and import bans may discourage Chinese consumers from using seaborne coal, especially when domestic supply is sufficient.
Australian coal producers are likely to face the risk of order cancellation, and to some degree, be forced to compete for sales in alternative countries. This may lead to weak prices in the seaborne market, especially for the mid-content-value coal of around 5,500kcal/kg that Chinese importers typically buy from Australia.
Imports from Indonesia have been less affected by the recent Chinese controls, according to press reports, although Indonesian producers are still likely to come under pressure to find new markets due to overall declining Chinese demand for seaborne coal, as well as increasing Indonesian domestic output, and weaker-than-expected domestic demand.
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Thursday, 17 December 20
CHINA'S BAN IS LESS OF A THREAT TO AUSTRALIA'S COAL INDUSTRY THAN INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE AMBITION - IEEFA
Australian coal exporters will survive this near-term political fight but there are longterm structural headwinds
The decision by Ch ...
Thursday, 17 December 20
BUMA SIGNED US$1.0 BILLION WORTH OF EXTENSION CONTRACT WITH BERAU COAL
PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama, subsidiary of PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk., has extended its mining services contracts with PT Berau Coal, in relation ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDONESIA 2020 COAL CONSUMPTION ESTIMATED AT 140-145 MLN TONNES - OFFICIAL, REUTERS REPORTED
Indonesia’s domestic coal consumption is estimated at 140-145 million tonnes this year, Dodik Ariyanto, an official at the energy ministry, t ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
RUSSIA REVISES DOWN EXPORT EXPECTATION - FITCH
The Ministry of Economy of Russia, the world’s third largest thermal coal exporting country, released its annual forecasts ...
Wednesday, 16 December 20
INDIAN COAL IMPORTS TO REMAIN SUBDUED - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Rating commented on Indian Coal Imports, Fitch said, coal imports by Indian utilities fell by about 24% yoy to 44 million tonnes (mt) i ...
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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