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Wednesday, 20 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
 Market experts mostly agree that the recent dry bulk market downtrend was caused by seasonal slowdown amid the Chinese New Year celebrations in combination with the deadly dam accident in Brazil earlier this year. The latter is a serious disruption that has already had an immediate negative impact on Capesize earnings. Brazil is the world’s second largest iron ore producer country after Australia, with approx. 70% of exports going to East Asia, and most iron ore consists of the highest quality found worldwide that does not require much processing. In addition, other production sites in Brazil are now in the public eye and currently under scrutiny when it comes down to their procedures, safety protocols and infrastructure and might not be able to increase production as desired. Hence, the imminent decrease of Brazil’s output will definitely reduce ton-mile revenue for Capes. The question now is if China is able to, and if they will respond with an increase of their domestic production from their high-cost mines, which will furthermore keep Cape revenues from rebounding to previous higher observed levels.
Besides the Capesize segment, the sudden drop and the swift reversal of sentiment was observed across all major trading routes and all ship sizes. This could be due to the turbulence deriving from the US-China trade war. While many reports/forecasts have been published and a lot of opinions have been heard, the only sure thing is that it adds uncertainty to the an already worrying global economy and a puzzled (amid coming regulations) shipping ecosystem. In the beginning, when the second worldwide largest economy showed signals of slowing down and seemed unable to maintain growth figures, analysts were pointing to the trade war. Recently though, many are wondering if a Chinese structural and fundamental problem will soon surface. In my point of view, if such problem does exist, the shipping world should focus on how the Chinese administration would tackle it. The country’s administration is currently signaling potential further stimulus measures and several are debating if such a program will have a positive impact on seaborne trade and to what degree.
The very slow fresh cargo supply of the past couple of months resulted in a slowdown of SnP activity, which is down 33% ytd. However, from the start of last week a more normal flow of cargo is observed and the BDI showed signs of recovering. At the same time, comparing past week’s SnP market to the start of this month we noted fresh prospective buyers coming on-board ships, while proven buyers took the opportunity to test sellers with levels depicting current market conditions and establishing new market levels.
Whilst some owners worry that we are entering a global bear market and are skeptical if this downturn was an indicator of a more structural issue, the BDI is now on a positive trend and others believe that we are heading towards more stable days having just experienced a short parenthesis in a market that is generally moving towards a healthy recovery and in that respect they maintain their bullish views and appetite for candidates offered at levels in line with current freight rates.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 March 19
SUPRAMAX: A 61,000 DWT VESSEL WAS BOOKED SINGAPORE FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA TO CHINA AT $10,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A faint glimmer of hope with the suggestion the market may have finally bottomed out, with owners attempting to resist further cuts in ...
Friday, 08 March 19
KOMIPO INVITES BIDS FOR 2.6 MILLION TONS OF AUSTRALIAN 5700 NAR COAL FOR FIVE YEARS
South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for 520,000 MT of min. 5700 NAR coal of Australian origin to be burnt ...
Friday, 08 March 19
CHINA'S COAL DEMAND FORECAST TO DROP SLOWLY - YONHAP
China’s coal demand is expected to fall at a snail’s pace over the next 20 years due to the country’s preference for the cheap fo ...
Thursday, 07 March 19
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE PLUNGE TO LOWEST IN SEVEN MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down the benchmark price of Indonesian thermal ...
Wednesday, 06 March 19
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 80,000 MT OF 3800 NCV COAL FOR 21 - 30 MARCH, 2019 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 80,000 MT of min 3,800 kcal/kg NCV low calor ...
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- The University of Queensland
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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