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Tuesday, 08 January 19
GLOBAL TRADE GROWTH EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT HEALTHY IN 2019 - ALLIED
 2019 is here and we find ourselves with new challenges for the shipping industry and the global economy as whole, with market prospects being neither optimistic nor pessimistic according to most analysts, Yiannis Vamvakas Allied shipping’s Research Analyst said in his latest weekly report.
Economic shocks and unexpected events cannot be fully predicted, but let’s recap some key points being seen. With regards to economic growth expectations, figures remain positive for 2019, but according to most, growth will drift to lower levels than it did in 2018.
UBS forecasts a figure close to 3.6% for the global economic growth this year, 0.2% lower than the last year, due to tighter monetary policies and political challenges among the world’s major economies. He also further noted, the same trend is projected for the US from Goldman Sachs, reducing the US economy growth forecast for the first half of 2019 to 2% from 2.4% estimated earlier. Most analysts predict that a US recession risk is low for this year. Meanwhile, it is worth mentioning that elections are expected for several countries this year, including India, South Africa, Canada, Argentina and Greece, leaving the prospect of political shocks firm on the table.
Additionally, Brexit is planned to occur on March 29, with many aspects of the withdrawal agreement still remaining unclear. Meanwhile, trade tensions emerged this past year between China and the US, with several commodities being impacted. New chapters in this play are expected to be seen this year, with more tariffs being likely in several products after the March dead-line, though with discussions underway there is still hope that a deal can be struck. With regards to global trade agreements, an altered Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) was agreed between 11 countries (Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam), despite the withdrawal of the US. The agreement will cut tariffs in several imports between the above-mentioned members. WE are also set to see a rise in the trade of agricultural imports from Canada and Australia to Japan, with the two hoping that they may gain market share from the US, said Yiannis Vamvakas.
Additionally, a new EU-Japan economic partnership agreement will commence from February, which will facilitate exports of Japan to the EU and vice versa.
In China, Yiannis Vamvakas said, there are several developments taking shape in terms of industrial production. Several industrial producers have already decided to increase their production levels within China in order to circumvent the tariffs introduced by the Chinese government on imports. On the other hand, Chinese producers may need to reshape their productions’ plans and add bigger volumes in other locations, avoiding tariffs on Chinese imports by the US. Vietnam and Indonesia may be the bigger winners of this shift.
Furthermore, 2018 was a turbulent year for oil. With oversupply concerns and possible geopolitical tensions still in play, volatility is expected to spill over into this year, but prices are predicted to follow an overall bullish trajectory. In mid-2019, waivers provided from the US to several countries with regards to importing oil from Iran are expected to expire, leaving a gap in the global oil trade. Moreover, it is interesting to see if the recent agreement among OPEC and non-OPEC producers to cut output will materialize and to what extent.
At the same time, we are waiting to see how prepared refineries are for IMO 2020, as the deadline draws ever closer. Uncertainty will continue to cloud the market and any decisions being made, but with global trade growth expected to remain at healthy levels this year, we should see further market improvement take place.
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Wednesday, 13 February 19
MALAYSIA WAS THE REGION'S LARGEST COAL IMPORTER WITH 34 MT IN 2018, UP 25% Y-O-Y
Although coal market in 2018 started with strong prices, starting in the beginning of the second half of 2018, the international spot prices for co ...
Wednesday, 13 February 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
If there is one word that can describe the current shipping environment then that this word is most probably “volatility.” The sentimen ...
Saturday, 09 February 19
SUPRAMAX: A 63,000-TONNER WAS REPORTED FIXED DELIVERY FOR AN EAST KALIMANTAN TRIP, REDELIVERY WEST COAST INDIA, AT $9,250 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Cape
The Vale disaster weighed heavily on the market for big ships, with uncertainty about shipments/future exports leading to a sharp drop in ...
Friday, 08 February 19
LOWER-QUALITY INDONESIA EXPORTS ROSE 39 MT IN 2018 YOY PRIMARILY IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED DEMAND FROM CHINA AND INDIA - PEABODY
"Underlying seaborne met and thermal coal conditions remain quite positive and the pace of U.S. coal-fueled power plant retirements is expecte ...
Thursday, 07 February 19
QATAR CAN GAIN FROM DECLINING COAL - THE PENINSULA
With North America and Europe closing down their old coal and nuclear plants, major gas exporters like Qatar can and should gain market share. With ...
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- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- VISA Power Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
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