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Wednesday, 12 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
 China’s monthly iron ore imports dropped for the first time this year joined by declines in copper and soybeans as economic growth slows in the world’s biggest consumer of commodities amid a simmering trade row with the U.S. Oft-cited as a market indicator for economic health, the metal has been under pressure since the summer, threatening to unwind a three-year rally. Other casualties from the trade war included the worst November in six years for Chinese soybean imports, as buyers shied off U.S. purchases made too expensive by tariffs. Conversely, aluminum exports hit a near-four-year high, offering some relief from bloated domestic supply. But the cause was again trade related as China is shipping more to take advantage of supply dislocations arising from U.S. action against United Co. Rusal, Russia’s biggest producer.
In view of the trade war everyone's attention was at Buenos Aires as the Group of 20 leaders met in Argentina to discuss developments that will shape the future of commodity trading. Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping met to see if they can avert an escalation of the U.S.-China trade war. Also on the sidelines, Russia’s Vladimir Putin and Saudi Arabia’s Mohammed bin Salman discussed how to coordinate oil policy just before the cartel’s producers meeting last week in Vienna, where a production cut was eventually decided as the course of action that will be taken starting next year.
That meeting is likely to shape the oil market in 2019 and affect everything from the war in Yemen to the share price of Exxon Mobil Inc. The choice Saudi Arabia has been facing is dramatic: cut oil production and enrage Trump, or keep pumping and risk ultra-low prices blowing up its economy. Ultimately it seems as if the Kingdom’s crown prince and day-to-day ruler, do need Trump’s political protection at this critical time of criticism. Of course the other key player here is Vladimir Putin, after Russia and Saudi Arabia spent the past two years working together to manage the oil market. Taken together, agreements, squabbles and comments made at the G-20 have the potential to trigger significant moves in seaborne cargoes from crude oil to soybeans, perhaps even iron ore and LNG.
While the G-20 is the biggest item on the agenda, it’s not the only one. It’ll be a significant period for iron ore markets as well, since mining giant Vale SA briefs investors in London and New York on the state of the global market.
The outcome of Trump’s meal with Xi Jinping at Buenos Aires had the scope to boost commodities that have been buffeted all year by their trade stand-off. Officials from both sides have been working on the contours of a possible deal that the leaders could announce after the plates have been cleared away and critically, a road map for more talks to follow. Donald Trump delayed for 90 days his threatened imposition of 25% tariffs on most Chinese imports after the dinner meeting with Xi Jinping, to give time for negotiations on longstanding trade disputes between the two countries, the White House has said.
By Christopher Whitty
Director, Towage and Port Agency Division
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 19 December 18
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND SET TO REMAIN STABLE THROUGH 2023, DESPITE HEADWINDS - IEA
While global coal demand looks set to rise for the second year in a row in 2018, it is forecast to remain stable over the next five years, as decli ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
GLOBAL SHIPPING SCOUTS FOR FUTURE GROWTH - PETER SAND, BIMCO
Where do we go to find economic growth that spurs shipping demand in the next five years? According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), we sh ...
Wednesday, 19 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As another year is coming to an end, it is interesting to look at the main shipping markets and how these performed compared to 2017.
&nb ...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
COAL DEMAND WILL REMAIN STEADY THROUGH 2023, INTERNATIONAL ENERGY AGENCY SAYS - TOM DICHRISTOPHER, CNBC
Coal consumption is on the rise but will remain roughly stable over the next five years, the International Energy Agency forecasts.
...
Tuesday, 18 December 18
DRY BULK: IN ABSOLUTE TERMS, ALL MAIN SIZE SEGMENTS SAW THEIR ACTUAL VOLATILITY FIGURES DECREASE - ALLIED
Since the beginning of 2016, when the dry bulk market reached its absolute bottom, freight rates have been ever since on an upward trajectory. Taki ...
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- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The University of Queensland
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- White Energy Company Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
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