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Tuesday, 11 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
 A lot of discussions have been made as to the effects of the IMO 2020 regulation on OPEX levels, investment feasibility of scrubbers and the benefits of alternative fuel usage. Aside from all of these, there is another reading to this new regulation. New oil products (ultra-low sulphur fuel oil) as well as the much larger quantities of MGO that will be needed from the shipping industry will reshape trade patterns around the globe. The first effect could well be depicted in crude oil trade due to shifts in refinery utilization, said Yiannis Vamvakas, Research Analyst of Allied Shipping in Allied latest weekly research report.
Specifically, demand for light sweet crude oil will move upward as it will be required from the non-upgraded refineries, while it is possible to see a negative trend in the demand for heavy sour grades. The second part is the need for redistribution of the low-sulphur fuels, in order to properly cover the global bunkering markets.
Yiannis Vamvakas further noted that, a side-effect to this could well be the requirement for floating storage for both clean (building of inventories), as well as dirty products (storage of the excess heavy fuel oil produced). Demand for HSFO is projected to recover in the long-term, as scrubber-equipped ships will continue using it. However, given that the IMO expects around 3,800 vessels to be fitted with scrubbers by 2020, it looks as though these vessels will remain a relatively small percentage of the global fleet. Many refineries have proceeded with their investment plans, adding capacity in order to produce more middle distillates, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasting that an additional 7 million barrels per day will come into production by 2023.
However, Yiannis Vamvakas says, there are also several refineries that have not yet fully prepared for the IMO 2020 regulation, possible creating a shortfall of the required fuels in certain regions. All in all, the most modernized refineries with extensive vacuum resid processing capacity will benefit most from the new regulation, as they will be able to produce larger quantities of required fuels, gaining market share in the marine sector. Based on these facts, demand will increase in regions were the more modern refineries reside, modifying current trade routes. According to a Reuters survey, around 66% of 33 questioned refineries will continue produce HSFO in 2020, but 70% of these stated that they will reduce their output. A decline has already been reported in fuel oil inventories, depicting the fact that refineries have started to cut output in anticipation of the regulation. However, it’s worth mentioning that if output cuts prove to be bigger than the consumption fall, prices will see a significant upsurge. With regards to different geographical locations, most of the US refineries have been upgraded by the US shale boom, giving them a head start, but they are still dependent on heavy fuel imports, which is used for blending purposes. This means that further investments will be required for adding de-sulphurisation capacity.
In Europe, the report says, the coastal refineries are better prepared compared to their mainland peers, as their main oil source is crude from North and West Africa, regions with less sour oil. In Middle East and China, most of the refineries do not have the capacity of de-sulphurisation needed to produce the new low-sulphur fuels, making new investments necessary. In almost all cases a significant change is to take place in the shipping industry.
This change can be seen as a threat, an opportunity or as a combination of these two. The modification of crude oil/oil products trade flows should benefit owners and refineries that are flexible and adaptable enough for the new regulations, while it may be a significant threat for market participants that will choose to fall behind their competition Yiannis Vamvakas concluded in his latest report.
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Friday, 14 December 18
KOSPO INVITED BIDS FOR 320,000 MT OF LOW CALORIFIC VALUE COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 320,000 MT of min 4,300 kcal/kg NCV coal per ...
Friday, 14 December 18
KOSPO INVITES BIDS FOR 1,177,000 METRIC TONS OF COAL FOR Q1' 19 LOADING
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Southern Power Co. Ltd (KOSPO) issued a tender for 701,000 MT of min 5,600 kcal/kg NCV coal and ...
Friday, 14 December 18
COAL IMPORT TO BE CHECKED BY RISING DOMESTIC PRODUCTION - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
The government’s effort to increase domestic coal production and power demand falling with the onset of the winters will check coal imports, ...
Thursday, 13 December 18
STRAITS AFFECTED BY TERRITORIAL DISPUTE BETWEEN SINGAPORE AND MALAYSIA - THE STANDARD CLUB
A recent territorial dispute has occurred between Singapore and Malaysia involving the Straits of Johor.
The Malaysian Attorney Gene ...
Wednesday, 12 December 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - CHRISTOPHER WHITTY
China’s monthly iron ore imports dropped for the first time this year joined by declines in copper and soybeans as economic growth slows in t ...
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Australian Coal Association
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