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Wednesday, 25 July 18
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - DIMITRIS KOURTESIS
 We are now into the second half of 2018, which so far has not been a fruitful year for tankers. With 2020 quickly approaching we need to consider the implications arising from the new fuel directives. 2020 seems to be the year that there will be a noticeable increase in the cost of moving cargo, with the forces driving costs upwards being either scrubbers and/or the increased demand for cleaner fuels.
The need for cleaner fuels will not only boost demand for product tankers though. Given the much higher crude oil quantities the production of these cleaner fuels requires compared to HFO, a boost in crude oil demand and a consequent support on crude tanker freight rates appears to also be in the cards.
The increase in fuel costs will definitely increase revenues but not profits. Therefore small owners with older, less efficient units, not capable of installing scrubbers, will be forced to either merge with larger companies, who have the cash flow to support financing, or in some cases will have to sell/ scrap and exit the industry. This filtering process will separate companies that managed to evolve and endure through the cycle and concurrently will correct the oversupply of tonnage, which drives rates in some cases well below their operating expenses today.
Vessels equipped with scrubbers or eco units will have a competitive advantage and owners will be able to fix periods at levels including a premium, as charterers will prefer to charter compliant and fuel efficient units. The market right now for a 1 year time charter, medium range non eco / non scrubber equipped tanker trading in clean petroleum products is around USD 13,000 per day. On the other hand, an eco/scrubber equipped unit would get approximately USD 14,500 - 15,000 per day for the same period.
We can identify that the difference of USD 1,500 - 2,000 per day is the premium charterers are paying in order to be 2020 compliant and have efficient units under their time charter. Apart from Ship owners/operators and charterers, it's also quite interesting to see how modern refineries are getting prepared for these changes. According to HSBC's research on IMO 2020, four of the most technically advanced refineries, S-oil, SK Innovation, Reliance Industries and Repsol are further upgrading and investing in their plants. They target to eliminate their HFO production by early to mid-2020. Specifically, SKI will focus on refining only very low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO). The goal of these refineries is to find themselves in a position where, come 2020, they have substantially decreased– or even better entirely eliminated – the production of HFO.
Mr. T. Veniamis on behalf of the Union of Greek Ship Owners, stated that Greek ship owners are working hard to comply with the 2020 requirements (0.5% sulfur cap). He also stressed the importance that these cleaner fuels are – aside from compliant – also safe for both the crew and the ship itself. To conclude, the general sentiment particularly for Owners with units up to MR size without scrubbers, is to patiently wait and plan day by day, as the investment of installing scrubbers on older units may not make financial sense given today’s fundamentals.
By Dimitris Kourtesis
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 03 October 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - KATERINA RESTIS
The bunker fuel supply and availability landscape is close to its transformation with the enforcement of the IMO’s global 0.5% fuel Sulphur c ...
Tuesday, 02 October 18
PANAMAX: A FURTHER RISE ACROSS ALL MAIN ROUTES THIS WEEK - ALLIED
Capesize
Finally an upward recovery was in sight in the spot market the past few days, after the prolonged negative pressure noted the weeks pr ...
Tuesday, 02 October 18
THE PRICE OF OIL CONTINUES ITS CLIMB AMIDST A SERIES OF CONCERNS REGARDING SUPPLY CONSTRAINTS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
It has been a busy week for oil traders as the price of oil continues its climb amidst a series of concerns regarding supply constraints.
...
Tuesday, 02 October 18
INDONESIA GETS READY TO MEET INCREASED COAL DEMAND FROM CHINA, FREIGHT TO RESPOND - MIKAL BOE
Indonesian coal suppliers have increased their domestic coal production target by 4.5 percent from a previous 485 million tonnes to a massive 507 m ...
Monday, 01 October 18
SUPRAMAX: A 56,000 DWT FIXED DELIVERY FOR A SURABAYA TRIP WITH REDELIVERY TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $13,500 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A stop-start market for the big ships with many expectations and few fulfilled. Holidays curtailed trading early in the week, but the ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
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