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Tuesday, 10 July 18
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
 The trade dispute saga continued over the past week, as new tariffs were put into force on Friday in both the U.S. and China and have already taken effect today morning.
These recent tariffs are on USD 34 billion worth in imports on each side and have so far been imposed with minimal reactions from markets said George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping research in his latest weekly shipping research report. He further noted that, the biggest concern now being voiced is with regards to a further escalation in this trade war, with propositions for additional tariffs to be placed on a further USD 200 billion worth of goods. It looks as though the first stage in this heated trade dispute has passed with a relatively mild reaction from markets due in part to the fact that most had already been taking positions months in advance. As things stand now most economists place a limited likelihood on the potential of further escalation taking place, giving the possibility of the additional tariffs on USD 200 billion of imports a 40 per cent chance of materializing. Nevertheless, it is still worth considering the impact a further escalation would have given the comments being passed around of late. With the U.S. having already threatened of an escalation of tariffs on almost all Chinese imports and at the same time open further fronts on global car imports and NAFTA, many are now quoting a final figure of affected goods close to the USD 1 trillion mark. This figure, if reached, would be equivalent to just over a quarter of the US’s total trade with the world and around 6 percent of the total global trade in goods. That could be quite a bite and would surely have detrimental nock on effects on economic growth figures across the globe.
George Lazaridis further noted, this is however the worst-case scenario and most of us are still holding hope that things will subside much before we reach anywhere near this point. Given however the way things have developed so far, such an outcome is not entirely farfetched and outside the realm of what is possible. Considering how these increased costs would be passed on to business and final consumers, the negative affect they would have on demand is self-explanatory. The overall bit out of global growth may well be minimal at an initial stage, but when taking into account that the positive signs being seen over the past couple of years have also been more minor as well, this would lead to yet another off-balance point for the demand-supply balance in shipping. Obviously the first to feel the pinch would be containerships which had only just started to show signs of recovering, while bulk shipping would be quick to follow as the net effects take hold of the whole supply chain of the products impacted.
On the plus side, shipping is probably in its best form to deal with any of these negative scenarios, with shipping capacity growth having been curbed and not set to see any notable increases in the near future for most of the main sectors says George Lazaridis, Head of Research & Valuations of Allied Shipping research. As an indicator of this it is worth pointing to the fact that the current dry bulk orderbook stands at 8.43% of the trading fleet in terms of number of vessels, a figure which can still be considered as one of the lowest noted historically. At the same time, even under these current favorable earning conditions being seen, the fleet has only increased by 1.15% over the past six months, while given the orderbook schedule for the remaining six months, there is not much expectation for this figure to increase by too much by the end of the year. If things do eventually turn south between the U.S. and its trading partners and tit-for-tat tariffs do take hold, this capped fleet growth rate could help sustain to a certain degree a relatively favorable market in terms of earnings, George Lazaridis concluded.
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Tuesday, 26 June 18
A SHARP RISE IN THE PRICE OF CRUDE OIL WAS TO BE SEEN ON FRIDAY, ITS BIGGEST DAILY GAIN IN TWO YEARS - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
A sharp rise in the price of crude oil was to be seen on Friday, its biggest daily gain in two years, as OPEC reached a deal to raise output. Despi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
AUSTRALIA'S NEWCASTLE PORT SHIPPED 12.179 MT OF COAL IN MAY; DOWN 14.77% M/M
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port has shipped $AU1,453.6 Mi ...
Monday, 25 June 18
COAL IN THE CROSSFIRE: CHINESE TRADERS WARY OF BEING BURNT BY TRADE WAR - REUTERS
At least three U.S. coal shipments on their way to China may end up casualties of the escalating trade dispute after Beijing said it would impose s ...
Saturday, 23 June 18
COAL GROUP TARGETS 9 PER CENT REVENUE SPIKE - VIET NAM NEWS
Viet Nam News reported, the Viet Nam National Coal and Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomin or TKV) is targeting VNĐ116.9 trillion (US$5.1 billion) ...
Thursday, 21 June 18
ROBUST ASIAN THERMAL COAL DEMAND CREATES OPPORTUNITIES FOR AUSTRALIA - MINERALS COUNCIL OF AUSTRALIA
Minerals Council of Australia reported, Australia’s world-class coal mining industry can create more jobs in Australia and strengthen t ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PTC India Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
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